The overnight YouGov figures for the Sun had voting intentions of CON 43%, LAB 35%, LDEM 14%(!). The changes are well within the margin of error of the recent levels of support that the parties have been showing and it is the sort of figure we'd expect to
Peter Kellner has a new commentary on the government's approval ratings on the YouGov website here, looking at some of the cross-breaks behind the approval figures. The decline from their peak at around the time of the budget, when 48% approved and 27% disapproved, is indeed largely down
Last night's YouGov figures are now up on the website here. The latest voting intentions are CON 42%, LAB 35%, LDEM 15%, suggesting the 9 point and 3 point leads we've had over the last week were both just random variation, and we are still in
I had a busy time last week and was on holiday at the weekend, so here's a round up of some of the polls I didn't have chance to write about. YouGov voting intentions in their Sunday poll were CON 40%, LAB 37%, LDEM 15% -
It's two months since the coalition government was formed, what is the public's opinion of it so far? Voting intention has followed a fairly straightforward pattern - the Lib Dem vote has fractured since the election, presumably largely due to losing the support of more left
Earlier in the week we also saw the publication of this article by Martin Boon and John Curtice, their take on why the polls overestimated the Lib Dems at the last election, based upon a call back survey of 1,200 of the respondents to their final survey. The first
A quick couple of posts to catch up with a couple of things I should have posted about during the week but didn't get round to. First, the Speccy this week has the results of a YouGov poll on voting intention in a general election fought under AV.
The latest YouGov voting intentions are now up here, and show CON 41%, LAB 36%, LDEM 15%, Others 9%. YouGov have been continuing daily polling since the election (and will continue doing so), but from this week have started putting out voting intention and government approval figures daily again. In
I've written a lot about AV over recent days, what about the boundary review. Now we know the new target number of seats upon which the quota will be set (600), the tolerance that will be allowed either side of that quota (5%), and the exceptions that will
YouGov have some more AV polling, this time for Channel 4. In the past the assumption has been that AV would help Labour and the Liberal Democrats, and indeed this was backed up by polling evidence from past elections. In their final poll before the 2010 election YouGov asked respondents
To do with polling rather than opinion polling, but here's the meat from Nick Clegg's statement since most of it has provoked lots of comment here before now. On fixed term Parliaments. Parliament will have a 5 year fixed term. Votes of confidence will be given
I've got the details of the YouGov polling now (they should be up on the website tomorrow morning). People were given 6 arguments for AV and 6 arguments against, and for each one asked if they thought it was an effective or ineffective argument. At the end they
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