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No, the Liberal Democrats are NOT on 8%

Many years ago Teletext (those of you over 25 will remember it) used to have phone in polls on issues of the day. On occassion they would ask voting intention, and it would invariably show the Conservatives on about 80% of the vote even in the midst of Blair'

By Anthony Wells 17 Aug 2010

YouGov on Cameron's 100 days

Tomorrow's Sun has some YouGov polling around David Cameron's first hundred(ish) days in power. Topline voting intention is CON 41%, LAB 37%, LDEM 15%, a four percent lead for the Conservatives. Over the last week or so YouGov seem to have started to show leads

By Anthony Wells 17 Aug 2010

Harris/Daily Mail poll

There was a Harris poll in the Daily Mail yesterday. Voting intention figures are incomprehensible. To quote from the Mail "The Tories are down from 36 per cent at the election to just 29 per cent, while Lib Dem support has collapsed from 23 per cent to just 12.

By Anthony Wells 15 Aug 2010

600 seats again

On Newsnight yesterday they had a price about what the political impact might be of the reduction in seat numbers to 600, based on a projection by Simon Wilks-Heeg and Stephen Crone. Mark Pack has kindly put Wilks-Heeg and Crone's actual paper up on scribd here. The paper

By Anthony Wells 13 Aug 2010
Government Approval

Government Approval

YouGov's daily voting intention figures today are CON 41%, LAB 37%, LDEM 15%. Government approval is at 41%, disapproval at 40%, giving a net value of just +1, the lowest it's been since the general election. There is a slow downwards trend in the net score,

By Anthony Wells 11 Aug 2010

Should David Laws return to government?

Yesterday ConservativeHome and Guido both had stories about a possible return to the frontbench for David Laws, saying the government were testing the water on how it would be recieved. YouGov ran a question for the Sun yesterday asking if people thought David Laws should be able to return to

By Anthony Wells 10 Aug 2010

New YouGov and ComRes polls

There are two new polls tonight. YouGov's daily poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 40%, LAB 36%, LDEM 15% - meanwhile ComRes in the Indy have their first poll since the end of June, with topline figures of CON 39%(-1), LAB 33%(+2), LDEM

By Anthony Wells 09 Aug 2010

Latest Scottish Voting Intention

There is a new TNS-BMRB poll in the Herald. Voting intentions in the Scottish parliament (with changes from TNS's poll in June) are: Holyrood constituency: CON 10%(-3), LAB 46%(+1), LDEM 11%(nc), SNP 32%(+3) Holyrood regional: CON 11%(-1), LAB 42%(+1), LDEM 12%(nc)

By Anthony Wells 09 Aug 2010

Sunday Polling

YouGov's regular poll for the Sunday Times (link behind paywall) has topline figures of CON 42%, LAB 36%, LDEM 13% - which is pretty much the average for YouGov's recent polls, and presumably a good reflection of where we really are. As usual in polls for

By Anthony Wells 08 Aug 2010

Voting Intention Update

Time for an update on this week's voting intention polls. Here are YouGov's figures this week: YouGov/Sun August 2nd: CON 42% LAB 38% LDEM 12% YouGov/Sun August 3rd: CON 41% LAB 36% LDEM 13% YouGov/Sun August 4th: CON 42% LAB 36% LDEM 13%

By Anthony Wells 06 Aug 2010

Views on why Labour lost

One of the first challenges for Labour's new leader will be to identify why the party lost and what they need to do to make themselves electable once more. This is not necessarily an easy task (it took the Conservative party a decade!), they must convince their own

By Anthony Wells 05 Aug 2010

When I were a lad the Lib Dems were just an asterisk...

Was pretty much the gist of what Chris Huhne said on the Marr programme yesterday. I rather like that response - I hate it when politicians resort to the cliches of "I never pay attention to polls" (course you don't, just like all the other politicians

By Anthony Wells 02 Aug 2010
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