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ICM show 1 point Tory lead - CON 37, LAB 36, LD 16

ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian, conducted after this week's budget, has the Conservatives back ahead - CON 37%(+2), LAB 36%(-2), LDEM 16%(-2). Changes are from their February poll, before both the budget and the intervention in Libya. This is the first poll

By Anthony Wells 25 Mar 2011

Post-budget ICM poll has Conservatives back in the lead

ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian, conducted after this week's budget, has the Conservatives back ahead - CON 37%(+2), LAB 36%(-2), LDEM 16%(-2). Changes are from their February poll. Full report to follow shortly UPDATE: Proper post now up here

By Anthony Wells 25 Mar 2011

YouGov's budget polling

Full tables for YouGov's post-budget poll are now available here. The overall position is a small thumbs up, but not one that had made any real difference to the bigger picture. Overall 44% of people thought the budget was a fair one, with 31% thinking it unfair. This

By Anthony Wells 25 Mar 2011

YouGov/Sun - CON 37, LAB 41, LDEM 11

YouGov's first daily poll since the budget has topline figures of CON 37%, LAB 41%, LDEM 11%, Others 11%. The day-on-day changes since yesterday are not significant, but it is the smallest Labour lead since February. Government approval has also risen - today's figure is minus

By Anthony Wells 24 Mar 2011
On budget bounces (or lack thereof)

On budget bounces (or lack thereof)

As we look forward to what effect the budget has on the polls, here's an updated look at what they've done in the past. The graph below shows the government's lead in the two YouGov polls before and after each of the last ten

By Anthony Wells 23 Mar 2011

ComRes London poll has Ken nudging ahead

Somewhat strange timing, given the political news is going to be budget-budget-budget tonight, but there is a new ComRes poll of London mayoral voting intentions out. First preferences apparently show Ken on 46%, Boris on 44%, with second preferences re-allocated Ken remains ahead on 51% to Boris's 49%

By Anthony Wells 23 Mar 2011

New YouGov and Angus Reid polls

There are two new voting intention polls tonight. Angus Reid have topline figures of CON 32%(-1), LAB 41%(nc), LDEM 10%(nc), Others 17%. Changes are since their previous poll at the start of March, and clearly show no significant movement. That 17% for others is particularly high (I

By Anthony Wells 22 Mar 2011

More from YouGov's Libya polling

The tables for YouGov's polling on Libya are now up here and here. People broadly approve of David Cameron's handling of the Libya Crisis so far, with 44% thinking he had done a good job, 35% a poor job. This compares positively to impressions of President

By Anthony Wells 22 Mar 2011

YouGov/Sun - public support attacks on Libya by 45% to 36%

YouGov's daily poll for the Sun is out. Topline voting intention figures are CON 36%, LAB 43%, LDEM 9% so there is no sign of any major impact from the Libya conflict. The poll was conducted between Sunday evening and this afternoon, so has some of the first

By Anthony Wells 21 Mar 2011

New poll of South West England

Apart from London, where there are mayoral elections to poll and a regional newspaper with some cash behind it to commission them, regional voting intention polls are a pretty rare creature. However, today we have a poll of the South West from MarketingMeans. Voting intention in the South West (with

By Anthony Wells 21 Mar 2011

YouGov on Libya, AV and nuclear power

The full tables for the YouGov/Sunday Times poll are now up here. Here are some of the highlights. The poll asked about Libya, but as it was conducted between Thursday afternoon and Friday afternoon the questions were rather overtaken by events. There are a couple of early straws in

By Anthony Wells 20 Mar 2011

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 37, LAB 43, LD 9

Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sunday Times has voting intention figures of CON 37%, LAB 43%, LDEM 9%. The fieldwork for the poll was roughly half on Thursday night, half during Friday, so is roughly half/half before and after news of the UN resolution on Libya broke,

By Anthony Wells 19 Mar 2011
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