Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 39% LAB 38% LDEM 10%. So far this week the YouGov daily polls have shown two 1 point Conservative leads, a 2 point Labour lead and a 4 point Labour lead, so still averaging out at a
The Guardian's report on their poll this month has made the assumption that a drop in Conservative support is due to NHS policy, various other commentators have this morning jumped to the same conclusion. The truth is, as ever, rather more complex than that. Firstly we should set
We could have several polls tonight, given most of last month's polls ended up being conducted over the same weekend. The first one out is ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian. Last month's Guardian poll had shown a Tory lead of five points, this
I didn't get chance yesterday to do a full rundown of the Sunday Times poll, so with full tabs long since up, here are a couple of things worth noting. 1) The problems of the new child benefit rules. The principle of withdrawing child benefit from households with
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sunday Times has topline figures of CON 37%, LAB 41%, LDEM 7%, Others 15%. It's a four point lead for Labour and a very low score for the Lib Dems, the lowest since last month. Normal caveats apply, it could the
There is a new ComRes poll in the Independent on Sunday and Sunday Mirror tomorrow, if I recall correctly it's only the second non-YouGov of February given that all the other companies' fieldwork dates seem to have started clustering towards the end of the month. Topline figures,
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 39%, LAB 39%, LDEM 9%. We seem to have settled into a rather steady picture of the two main parties around about neck-and-neck, though my impression is we've seen the inklings of a slow drift
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 40%, LAB 39%, LDEM 9%, a one point Conservative lead. This follows yesterday's poll which had a four point Labour lead. The two main parties still appear to be pretty much neck-and-neck in YouGov'
Judging by twitter Prof Richard Dawkins was his usual emollient and self-deprecating self on Radio 4 this morning promoting the results of a new Ipsos-MORI poll commissioned by his Foundation for Research and Science. I didn't hear it myself so I won't comment, but what of
There is a new YouGov/Evening Standard poll of voting intentions in London. First round intentions with changes from a month ago stand at JOHNSON 46%(+2), LIVINGSTONE 45%(-1), PADDICK 6%(-1), Others 3%. On a forced choice between Ken and Boris, Boris leads by 51% to 49%, a
Full tabs for the YouGov/Sunday Times survey are now up here. On the leader trackers all three are up very slightly, Cameron on minus 4 (from minus 6 last week, Miliband on minus 41 (from minus 45 last week), Clegg on minus 45 (from minus 47 last week). It
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sunday Times has topline figures of CON 38%, LAB 39%, LDEM 9%. The underlying picture still seems to be very much one of Labour and the Conservatives neck-and-neck, with Labour perhaps slightly ahead. I'll do a fuller update tomorrow when the
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