There was a time when I used to spend an inordinate amount of time telling people not to spend too much time looking at regional cross breaks in voting intention polls - they have small samples, large margins of error, and are not internally weighted. Needless to say, it goes
With a week to go ComRes have a new London mayoral poll out this morning showing a more comfortable lead for Boris Johnson, and Brian Paddick being pushed into fourth place. First preference figures with changes from their last poll are JOHNSON 45%(-1), LIVINGSTONE 36%(-5), JONES 6%(+2)
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 43%, LDEM 8%, Others 16%, producing an eleven point Labour lead, the same as in yesterday's poll. With YouGov's Labour leads varying between 9 and 13 points, my guess is that
This month's Ipsos MORI poll, conducted for the Evening Standard, is out and has topline figures of CON 35%(-1), LAB 38%(+1), LDEM 12%(+1). While the trend towards Labour is the same as all the other polls, it is a much smaller Labour lead than we&
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 45%, LDEM 8%, Others 15% (including UKIP on 7%), a second thirteen point lead for Labour following on from last Thursday's. It's a bigger lead than in ICM's poll
ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian is out, with topline figures of CON 33%(-4), LAB 41%(+3), LDEM 15%(+2). These changes are from the most recent ICM poll, conducted after the budget for the Sunday Telegraph - the Guardian compare to their last ICM poll, that
The weekly YouGov London poll for the Evening Standard shows the race for the London mayor elections now neck-and-neck, with Boris's lead on the second round down to 2 points. First round voting intention figures, with changes from last week, are JOHNSON 43%(-2), LIVINGSTONE 41%(+1), PADDICK
Full tables for the YouGov/Sunday Times poll are now up here. On the regular trackers David Cameron is at minus 23 (from minus 26 last week), Ed Miliband minus 46 (from minus 44), Nick Clegg at minus 55 (from minis 54). The government's continuing troubles don'
YouGov's weekly poll for the Sunday Times has topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 41%, LDEM 11%, Others 15% (including UKIP on 8%). The thirteen point Labour lead yesterday looks as thought it was a bit of an outlier - my impression is that the underlying figure in
ComRes's monthly online poll for the Independent on Sunday and Sunday Mirror is out, and has topline figures of CON 34%(-3), LAB 40%(nc), LDEM 11%(+1), Others 15%(+2) (including UKIP on 6%). Changes are from ComRes's last online poll, conducted prior to the
I'm out tonight, so this post is written in advance, but tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 45%, LDEM 8% and Others 16% (UKIP are on 7%). A thirteen point Labour lead is the largest any pollster has shown
The TNS-BMRB London poll I mentioned briefly yesterday now has tables up on their website here. Re-percentaged to exclude don't knows and wouldn't votes, first round preferences work out at roughly JOHNSON 45%, LIVINGSTONE 35%, PADDICK 11%, JONES 5%, WEBB 2%, CORTIGLIA 1% (There is no
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