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ComRes/Indy - CON 35, LAB 42, LDEM 12

The monthly ComRes phone poll for the Independent has been published and has topline figures of CON 35%(+2), LAB 42%(-2), LDEM 12%(+2), Others 11%(-2). ComRes also asked a hypothetical voting intention question on how people would vote if Vince Cable was the Liberal Democrat leader. Like

By Anthony Wells 03 Sep 2012

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 35, LAB 41, LD 9, UKIP 7

This week's YouGov results for the Sunday Times are now up here. The topline voting intention figures are CON 35%, LAB 41%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 7%. The six point Labour lead is unusual, typically YouGov have been showing Labour leads of around 9-10 points for the last few

By Anthony Wells 02 Sep 2012

YouGov/Sun - CON 33, LAB 42, LD 10, UKIP 8

This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 42%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 8%. A nine point lead today, but YouGov have shown three twelve point Labour leads over the last week, so the underlying average appears to be creeping upwards. I'

By Anthony Wells 31 Aug 2012

New YouGov and TNS BMRB polls

Last night's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 44%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 8%. There is also a new TNS BMRB poll out with topline voting intention figures of CON 31%(-1), LAB 40%(-2), LD 11%(+1), Others 18%(+2). Changes are

By Anthony Wells 29 Aug 2012
House effects

House effects

A lot of the points I made in my essay on how not to report polls boiled down to not taking a poll in isolation. Not making the outlier the story, only comparing apples to apples, not cherry picking - they all boil down to similar things, especially on voting

By Anthony Wells 28 Aug 2012

ICM/Guardian - CON 34, LAB 39, LDEM 15

ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian has been published. Topline figures with changes from last month are CON 34%(nc), LAB 39%(nc), LDEM 15%(+1), Others 12%(-1). Changes are from ICM's last poll in July. Full tabs are here. I am always a little

By Anthony Wells 27 Aug 2012

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 34, LAB 43, LD 10, UKIP 6

The weekly YouGov results for the Sunday Times are now online here. Topline voting intention figures are CON 34%, LAB 43%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 6% - still very much in line with the 9-10 Labour leads that YouGov have been averaging about of late. The rest of the poll dealt

By Anthony Wells 26 Aug 2012

On that poll of Lib Dem members

Some of the internet got very excited over a LibDemVoice poll earlier this week showing 46% of Lib Dem members don't want Nick Clegg to stay on as party leader at the next election. The question itself was rather more nuanced than some of the comment upon it

By Anthony Wells 24 Aug 2012

New YouGov and TNS BMRB polls

Two new polls tonight - the daily YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 42%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 6%, so no significant change there. There is also a new TNS BMRB poll, which has almost identical topline figures of CON 32%(+2), LAB 42%(nc)

By Anthony Wells 22 Aug 2012

Ashcroft poll on gay marriage

Lord Ashcroft has released some more polling on gay marriage, asking a question on whether people would be more or less likely to vote for a party that legalised same-sex marriage. As regular readers will know, I have an awful lot of reservations about would X make you more or

By Anthony Wells 22 Aug 2012

YouGov/Sun - CON 34, LAB 44, LD 8, UKIP 7

Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 34%, LAB 44%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 7%, very much in the normal range. On a Monday night you may be wondering where the monthly Populus and ICM polls for the Times and Guardian have got to -

By Anthony Wells 20 Aug 2012

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 32, LAB 43, LD 10, UKIP 7

The YouGov/Sunday Times results are now up here, with topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 43%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 7% - still within the margin of error of the 9-10 point Labour leads that YouGov have now been showing for a couple of months. The rest of the poll

By Anthony Wells 19 Aug 2012
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