This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun was the first conducted wholly after the Eastleigh result was known, so is the first time we can look for any obvious effect on voting intention. Topline figures are CON 31%, LAB 40%, LDEM 12%, UKIP 12%. The twelve point score
The weekly YouGov poll for the Sunday Times is now up here. Topline figures are CON 31%, LAB 42%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 11%, so pretty much normal. The fieldwork of the poll straddled Thursday and Friday so was partially after the Eastleigh result, but I wouldn't necessarily expect
I wrote most of what I had to say about Eastleigh on Tuesday night: by elections are very unusual events and you can't tell anything about public opinion from them that you couldn't get a much better handle upon from national polling. It won't
Tomorrow is, as anyone who follows politics can hardly avoid being aware, the Eastleigh by-election. In many ways it is the most interesting and important by-election of the Parliament so far. We've had one proper Conservative-Labour marginal in the form of Corby, but given Labour's strong
Lord Ashcroft has released a second poll of Eastleigh, conducted over the weekend. Topline figures are CON 28%, LAB 12%, LDEM 33%, UKIP 21%. Like the Times poll conducted by Populus last week it shows the Liberal Democrats still ahead, UKIP in third place and the Labour vote squeezed right
Sky News have already released the monthly ComRes poll for the Independent here and show topline figures of CON 31%(-1), LAB 43%(+4), LDEM 8%(-2), UKIP 9%(-1). A significant increase for Labour and the largest Labour lead they've shown in their phone polls (albeit not
Following the Populus/Times Eastleigh poll that showed the Liberal Democrats five points ahead, there is a new Survation poll of Eastleigh in the Mail on Sunday tomorrow that shows the opposite picture, with the Conservative party four points ahead. Their topline voting intentions for Eastleigh are CON 33%(nc)
With under a week to go till the by-election tomorrow's Times has a Populus poll of Eastleigh (£). Voting intention now stands at CON 28%, LAB 11%, LDEM 33%, UKIP 21%. If one assumes that the Ashcroft poll earlier this month was conducted by Populus using the same methodology,
The latest YouGov poll of Wales for ITV is now up on their website here. Topline voting intentions in Wales, with changes from the last poll way back in July are: Westminister: CON 22%(-1), LAB 51%(-3), LDEM 9%(+5), PC 10%(nc), UKIP 7% Assembly const: CON 21%
A quick update on the latest voting intention polling. TNS-BMRB's weekly poll has topline figures of CON 29%(-2), LAB 38%(-3), LD 11%(+1), UKIP 12%(+2), Others 10% (changes are from a week ago). Meanwhile this morning's YouGov poll for the Sun had topline
This week's results for the YouGov/Sunday Times poll are online here. Topline voting intention stands at CON 32%, LAB 43%, LDEM 12%, UKIP 9% - so very much in line with the typical YouGov Labour lead of about 10 points. There's no sign of any
Descriptions matter, hence politicians and campaigning groups often go to great lengths to try and frame the language that policies and causes are described in, trying to get policies they support referred to in inherently positive terms and their opponents policies with inherently negative terms. Think of the fantastically successful
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