Ipsos MORI Scottish Monitor

Ipsos MORI have published their quarterly Scottish political monitor for the Times, full results are here.

Voting intention for the Holyrood constituency vote stands at CON 13%(+1), LAB 35%(+3), LDEM 8%(+2), SNP 40%(-5). Alex Salmond also continues to have a positive approval rating as First Minister, with 50% satisfied with the way he is doing his job and 40% disatisfied (in comparing Salmond with the other party leaders in Scotland the most notable thing is the different levels of don't knows - only 9% had no opinion on Salmond, the next lowest was Johann Lamont who 34% of people had no opinion on. It's not a surprise - Salmond has been a major figure in Scottish politics for decades while Lamont, Rennie and Davidson have all been in office for less than 18 months - but striking none-the-less).

On the Scottish referendum question amongst those certain to vote in a referendum YES is on 30%, NO is on 58%. In the three waves of the MORI Scottish monitor since the new question was announced there has been a clear movement towards NO - from an 11 point NO lead in January, to 20 points in June, to 28 points now.