ICM - CON 38%, LAB 30%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 15

The Conservative leadership election is abruptly over while a Labour leadership election begins. No doubt there will be polling on those over the next couple of weeks. In the meantime ICM put out a new voting intention poll today, with topline figures of CON 38%, LAB 30%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 15%.

The eight point lead for the Conservatives is a slightly larger Tory lead than at the general election, and was conducted over the weekend so does not yet account for any honeymoon Theresa May may or may not enjoy. During the leadership election May ruled out the opinion of an early general election, so if she keeps her word she'll resist the temptation of an early election while Labour are at one another's throats. If not it may be an interesting result.

ICM rolled out a couple of methodology changes for today's poll. Firstly they've dropped weighting turnout based on self-reported likelihood to vote and replaced it with a turnout model based on demographics, secondly they've started weighting by level of political interest - the poll was also conducted online rather than by phone, which seems to be increasingly the case for ICM polls. According to ICM the impact of the changes is typically to increase Tory support by about a point and decrease Labour support by about a point. Full tabs are here.