This morning's YouGov/Sun poll has topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 38%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 13% - a six point lead for Labour (as was yesterday's poll). After a week of narrower leads immediately following the budget it looks as though things have now reverted
There were two immediate post-debate polls tonight, YouGov for the Sun and ICM for the Guardian (I think Opinium may be doing one too, but not being published until tomorrow). Both called it as a convincing win for Nigel Farage. YouGov had 68% saying Farage performed better, 27% Clegg, 5%
The Sun politics team have tweeted out tonight's YouGov figures. Topline voting intentions are CON 33%, LAB 37%, LD 10%, UKIP 12%. The four point Labour lead follows a three point lead yesterday - together they are rather unenlightening. They would be within the normal margin of error
A couple of years ago I wrote a piece giving advice on how to report opinion polls, or rather, how not to. Look specifically at the third point on being careful of extremely small sample sizes in cross-breaks. There was a cracking example of the media failing on this front
The weekly YouGov/Sunday Times poll is out here. Topline voting intentions are CON 33%, LAB 40%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 11%. These would have been perfectly normal a fortnight ago, but contrast with the average Labour leads of two points or so that we've had for the last
The fortnightly Opinium poll for the Observer is now out and shows the same sort of narrowing we've seen in other post-budget polls. Topline figures with changes from a fortnight ago are CON 32%(+2), LAB 33%(-2), LDEM 10%(nc), UKIP 15%(-1). The only other poll
This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 35%, LAB 36%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 11% (tabs here.) Over the last week YouGov's daily polls have averaged out at a two point Labour lead, compared to five or six before the budget, suggesting
There is a YouGov/Sun instant reaction poll of people who watched the debate (weighting to be a representative sample in terms of party support and attitudes to EU membership). Result was a pretty comfortable win for Farage: 57% think Farage did better, 36% think Clegg did better. UPDATE: A
I've been entrenched in preparing Nick v Nigel debate polling (more on that later) for the last couple of day, but in the meantime there have been two new Scottish referendum polls. The new YouGov poll in the Times this morning continues the recent trend of movement towards
There are two new voting intention polls tonight, ComRes in the Indy and YouGov in the Sun (tweeted by the Sun Politics team here). The YouGov/Sun figures show another small Labour lead, CON 36%, LAB 38%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 10%. This comes after the Labour lead shrinking to one
The first of this week's two Populus polls is out and has topline figures of CON 34%, LAB 35%, LD 10%, UKIP 13%. That gives us three polls in a row from three different pollsters showing the Labour lead down to one point, though it should be noted
The full details of YouGov's weekly Sunday Times poll are now up online here. Topline voting intention figures are CON 36%, LAB 37%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 11%. That means two polls today, from YouGov and Survation, both show a reduced Labour lead of just one point. As ever
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