A golden rule in looking at polls should be to examine to the big picture, the trend in the polls as a whole, rather than trying to draw conclusions from individual polls. However, because I try to report every new political poll that's published, this blog sometimes misses
A new YouGov poll shows David Cameron overtaking Blair as the party leader people think would make the best Prime Minister. 30% chose Cameron compared to 28% for Blair and 6% for Menzies Campbell. While Michael Howard did briefly match Tony Blair in the same question, this is the first
ICM have conducted a new survey of British Muslims in the aftermath of the Forest Gate raid earlier this month. 54% of of British Muslims thought that Sir Ian Blair should resign over the bungled raid, with 29% saying he should stay on (the Guardian report notes that respondents in
The monthly YouGov poll for the Telegraph has the Conservative lead stretching slightly to 7 points. The topline figures with changes from last month are CON 39%(+1), LAB 32%(nc), LDEM 17%(+1). The changes from last month are not significant, but do suggest that the Conservatives are consolidating
Back in May an ICM poll for the BBC's Politics Show asked if, in light of devolution, it was right or wrong that a Scottish MP can become Prime Minister of the whole UK. Then only 45% thought it was right, with 52% saying no. Professor John Curtice
ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian yesterday had the Conservative lead up to 5 points. This is the largest Conservative lead in an ICM poll since prior to September 1992. The topline figures, with changes from last month, are CON 37% (-1), LAB 32% (-2), LDEM 21%(+1)
Data from the first two months of YouGov's daily political trackers on BrandIndex shows that the week before the local elections caused lasting damage to Tony Blair's own reputation and to the Labour party's reputation for competence. Local election success turned around public perceptions
The full results of MORI's poll for the Observer are now available on their website. The topline figures, with changes from last month, are CON 41% (nc), LAB 34%(+3), LDEM 18% (nc). As ever, it is worth remembering that MORI's lack of political weighting and
For the last month or so Populus have been conducting weekly poll for the BBC's Daily Politics programme - normally on Fridays. Last week's poll covered attitudes towards the water shortage in the South of England. Questions on the water companies' responsibility for leaks produced
A YouGov poll of Labour party members, commissioned by Michael Meacher's LabOUR Commission and published in Saturday's Guardian suggests that 71% of Labour party members want Tony Blair to step down before the 2007 conference. 37% of Labour members want him to step down before this
Ipsos-MORI have started conducting quarterly comparative polls tracking social trends in six countries - the UK, USA, France, Spain, Germany and Italy. A couple of figures cropped up in various news items over the last week, but the first actual findings are published in a MORI report today. The most
An ICM poll for the Times Higher Educational Supplement (though no sign of it on the THES website) suggests that the industrial action by lecturers that appeared to have been settled last week may not be over after all. The pay offer of 13.1% over three years - the
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