Populus's monthly poll for the Times has topline figures, with changes from last month, of CON 42%(-1), LAB 28%(-5), LDEM 18%(+3). The poll was conducted over the weekend. Populus's methodology is quite close to ICM's and we've got similar
While we are waiting for Populus tonight here's some bits and bobs from the last few days. Over the weekend there was a new System Three poll in Scotland showing voting intention in a possible referendum on Scottish Independence. The poll showed support for YES at 38%, for
There is a new ICM poll in the Sunday Telegraph which is - rather inexplicably - already up on their website here. The topline figures with changes from the last ICM poll are CON 40%(-4), LAB 28%(-4), LDEM 22%(+6). The poll was conducted on the 4th and
Peter Hoskin over at Coffee House has forced my hand into looking at budget bounces, or the lack of them. The graph below shows the Labour lead in two YouGov polls immediately before the last seven budgets, and the two YouGov polls immediately after each one. As you can see,
Channel 4 have released a new YouGov poll of marginal seats that projects a Conservative majority of between 60-70 seats were it to be repeated at a general election. The last time YouGov carried out a marginals poll like this was at the tail end of October, when the Labour
Over at Comment is Free, Daniel Davies has an interesting piece on why the BNP are unlikely to win a seat at the European elections in the North-West. Daniel's argument is that, while the BNP got 13% in the council wards they contested at the 2008 local elections,
The Sunday Times today has a new YouGov poll for Scotland. The full voting intention figures, with changes from YouGov's last Scottish poll, which was conducted right at the end of October and had shown a move back towards Labour, are below. Westminster voting intention: CON 20%(nc)
Both Mike Smithson and I regularly criticise the BBC's Daily Politics for commissioning political polls that are not politically weighted. The vast majority of political polls include a voting intention question and (with the exception of MORI, who don't believe past vote is suitable for weighting
The full tables for the YouGov/Telegraph are now on YouGov's website. The other underlying questions show movement against Labour (not unexpectedly, since these are all comparisons to the last YouGov/Telegraph poll in December, not the Sunday Times one in January). Gordon Brown's net approval
YouGov's monthly poll for the Telegraph has topline figures, with changes from the last YouGov poll in the middle of January, of CON 43%(-2), LAB 32%(nc), LDEM 16%(+2). I'll do a full report tomorrow when I've seen all the figures (I
One of the new additions I asked about in my user survey (I'll give more results soon, at the moment it's still open for people who haven't filled it in yet) was whether people wanted to see more foreign polls here to fill the
The full tables from ICM's monthly poll are now on their website here. There are two questions that I don't think were in the Guardian (though I think the first was mentioned in their leader): firstly, there is relatively little appetite for an immediate general election.
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