The full results of Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor are now up here. The voting intention figures were in the Mirror yesterday, but some of the more interesting results were instead published in the Observer today. Firstly we have the economic optimism figures. As with YouGov in the
BPIX in the Mail on Sunday have CON 39%(-2), LAB 30%(nc), LDEM 18%(+1). The rest of their poll asked about Tony Blair and the Chilcot inquiry, it is the usual negative response: 70% of people think the war in Iraq was illegal, and 80% say they did
As well as the YouGov poll in the Telegraph this morning, there is also one in the People tomorrow. The topline figures are CON 40%, LAB 31%, LDEM 18%. I've not put any changes in the vote, since this poll would have been carried out at roughly the
A third new poll today, this one from YouGov in the Daily Telegraph. YouGov show a further narrowing of the Conservative lead, with topline figures of CON 38%(-2), LAB 31%(nc), LDEM 19%(+1). Unlike MORI's poll the changes are well within the margin of error, but
Ipsos-MORI's monthly poll has also been published and is up on their website here. Their topline figures, with changes from their last poll in mid-December, are CON 40%(-3), LAB 32%(+6), LDEM 16%(-4). It's a big shift back to Labour, but to some extent
Political Betting has a new Angus Reid poll, the topline figures are almost unchanged from their previous poll with CON 40%(nc), LAB 24%(nc), LDEM 19%(-1). The company have shown Labour and the Conservatives unchanged in their last three polls, and continue to show a signficantly lower level
As we get closer to the election I expect we'll also get a flurry of what Bob Worcester calls "Voodoo polls" - open access polls that do not make any attempt to gather a representative sample. In yesterday's Sun and Times, and today'
The tables for ICM's poll are now available here. Firstly the question on the couples' tax allowance did indeed ask specifically if people would support or oppose a tax break for married couples with children, and found that 65% of people did with only 29% opposed, a
At the end of last year I wrote a piece saying I thought there were four "known unknowns" that might change the political picture before the election campaign. The first was Labour's final chance to change their leader in January - as we've seen,
ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian has topline figures of CON 40%(nc), LAB 29%(-1), LDEM 21%(+3). Changes are from ICM's last poll, which was conducted straight after the Hoon-Hewitt "coup". Clearly there is no significant change in the Conservative or Labour
ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian is due out later tonight, around about 6pm according to Mike Smithson. I'll be on a train about then, so those of you fortunate enough not to be commuting are free to discuss it here. ICM's last poll
Tomorrow's ComRes poll for tomorrow has also surfaced - the topline figures are CON 38%(-4), LAB 29%(nc), LDEM 19%(nc). There's a sharp drop in Conservative support since ComRes's last poll, but it actually reflects a straight reverse of the changes in
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