The Telegraph tomorrow has a new poll of marginal seats carried out by Crosby/Textor, conducted in the 140 Labour seats where the Conservatives need the smallest swing to win, and the 20 Lib Dem seats where the Conservatives need the smallest swing to win. Full details of the polling
I'm not quite sure why ITV persist with a 10pm embargo on their ComRes polls, I think the ComRes poll has ended up coming out before that every single night of the campaign! Anyway, since it is already being reported elsewhere I may as well put it up,
Tonight's YouGov poll has topline figures of CON 35%(+1), LAB 28%(nc), LDEM 28%(-1). No significant change there - YouGov's figures have been within 1 point of these scores for five days now. Someone has also pointed out a new Welsh poll today, from
There is an Opinium poll in tomorrow's express which has topline figures of CON 33%(-1), LAB 28%(+3), LDEM 27%(-1), with changes from last week. I don't have figures for others, but presumably they are around 12%. Labour are up by three points, bringing
The final round of Ipsos MORI's marginal polling for Reuters has been published. These are polls conducted in Labour held marginal seats where the Conservatives need a swing of between 5% and 9% to win - to win on a uniform swing the Conservatives need a swing of
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 34%(-1) LAB 28% (+1) LDEM 29% (+1). No significant change from yesterday. Rather to my surprise, there's also a new ICM poll in the Guardian. The topline figures there are CON 33%(-3), LAB
There were two Scottish polls this weekend - YouGov in the Scotland on Sunday had figures of CON 17%, LAB 37%, LD 22%, SNP 20%. TNS BMRB in the Scottish Mail on Sunday had figures of CON 13%, LAB 44%, LDEM 16%, SNP 23%. The YouGov poll would produce very
In predicting the result of the election on Thursday, getting the levels of party support is only half the battle (if anything, it's probably the easier bit). The harder bit is translating that into actual seats - especially given that this looks likely to be an election where
It's the last Sunday before the election, so we have a large number of polls out tonight. I've mentioned most of them in a quick post earlier on, but now I've had chance to get home and digest them properly. Here are the polls
I am away from the computer properly until later tonight, but we've already got some of Sunday morning's polls out. So far ICM in the Sunday Telegraph are showing CON 36%, LAB 29%, LDEM 27%. There is a second ICM poll in the News of the
There is also a Harris poll for the Daily Mail out tonight - the topline figures there are CON 33%(+1), LAB 24%(-1), LDEM 32%(+2). No vast change there, though Harris are showing a much lower level of support for Labour than some other pollsters, and the highest
Swing Calculator This calculates what would happen at a general election if there was a uniform swing across the country. Enter shares of the vote into the boxes below and click submit to see what the result would be if they were repeated at a general election. mysql_connect("
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