Anthony Wells
Voting Intention 1979-1983
1979-1983 Polls rowspan='2' bgcolor='#F7F7F7'> Survey End Date CON (%) LAB (%) LIB/SDP (%) Con Lead MORI/Express1983-06-0847262521 Harris/Observer1983-06-0847252621 Gallup/Telegraph1983-06-0845.526.52619 Marplan/Guardian1983-06-0846262620 NOP/Northcliffe1983-06-0847252621 MORI/Evening Standard1983-06-0844282616 NOP/Daily Mail1983-06-0746282418 Audience Selection/Sun1983-06-0746232917 Marplan/Guardian1983-06-0647262521 Audience Selection/Sun1983-06-0545242817 Harris/Observer1983
Voting Intention 1974-1979
1974-1979 Polls rowspan='2' bgcolor='#F7F7F7'> Survey End Date CON (%) LAB (%) LIB (%) Con Lead Gallup/Telegraph1979-05-024938.5910.5 NOP/Daily Mail1979-05-02463912.57 Gallup/Telegraph1979-05-02434113.52 MORI/Evening Standard1979-05-024537158 MORI/Express1979-05-0144.438.813.55.6 Marplan/Sun1979-05-014538.513.56.5 NOP/Daily Mail1979-04-3042.443.112.2-0.
Voting intention 1970-Oct1974
1970-1974 Polls Survey End Date CON (%) LAB (%) LIB (%) Con Lead Harris/Express1974-10-0934.64319.3-8.4 ORC/Evening Standard1974-10-0934.441.819.4-7.4 ORC/Times1974-10-08354417-9 Marplan/Sun1974-10-0833.343.819.5-10.5 Gallup/Telegraph1974-10-073641.519-5.5 Harris/Express1974-10-0633.543.520-10 NOP/Daily Mail1974-10-053145.519.5-14.5 Marplan/News of the World1974-10-0433.142.
Looking back at 2011
In terms of polling 2011 has been almost static. In the last Parliament we were rather spoilt in terms of volatility, seeing the Conservatives move ahead after the election of David Cameron, then the Brown boost putting Labour briefly ahead until the election-that-never-was burst the bubble, then a second Labour
Voodoo polling corner
The Press Association are reporting that "The majority of people from across the political spectrum believe Scotland should be responsible for raising most of the money it spends, according to research from an independent think-tank." Because it is on the Press Association feed, this is then repeated verbatim
ICM/Guardian - CON 37, LAB 36, LDEM 15
ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian has finally appeared (it was conducted on the Tuesday and Wednesday before Chistmas, but presumably held back till today's paper when there is normally no proper news to report!). Topline figures, with changes from the ICM/Sunday Telegraph poll straight
Christmas open thread
No polls over Christmas of course, but here's an open thread for those of you seeking to escape from Christmas preparations. Reflections on the year just gone? Predictions for next year? No need to stay on topic, but please do try and remain civil and rise above "
YouGov/Sun - CON 40%, LAB 40%, LDEM 9%
Tonight's is the last YouGov daily poll for 2011 and topline figures are CON 40%, LAB 40%, LDEM 9%, meaning we end the year with the two main parties neck-and-neck, which is at least quite tidy. I'm not sure if we'll have any polls
YouGov/Sun - CON 40, LAB 40, LD 10
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 40%, LAB 40%, LDEM 10%. While the boost that the Conservatives received from David Cameron's veto appears to have declined somewhat from the Conservative leads we briefly saw last week, it doesn't look
TNS-BMRB - CON 35%, LAB 38%, LD 11%
Also published today are new voting intention figures from TNS-BMRB. Topline figures with changes from their previous poll at the end of November are CON 35%(-1), LAB 38%(-1), LDEM 11%(+2), Others 16%. No obvious sign of any veto boost for the Conservatives here. The poll was conducted
Populus/Times - CON 35%, LAB 39%, LD 12%
Populus' monthly poll for the Times is out this morning after all (but given two and a half inches on page 14). Topline figures with changes from last month are CON 35%(+2), LAB 39%(-2), LDEM 12%(-1), Others 15%. Populus show a move towards the Tories, but