YouGov/Sun - CON 33%, LAB 37%, LD 10%, UKIP 12%

The Sun politics team have tweeted out tonight's YouGov figures. Topline voting intentions are CON 33%, LAB 37%, LD 10%, UKIP 12%. The four point Labour lead follows a three point lead yesterday - together they are rather unenlightening. They would be within the normal margin of error

NOT a proper poll of European Election VI in the East

A couple of years ago I wrote a piece giving advice on how to report opinion polls, or rather, how not to. Look specifically at the third point on being careful of extremely small sample sizes in cross-breaks. There was a cracking example of the media failing on this front

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 33, LAB 40, LD 9, UKIP 11

The weekly YouGov/Sunday Times poll is out here. Topline voting intentions are CON 33%, LAB 40%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 11%. These would have been perfectly normal a fortnight ago, but contrast with the average Labour leads of two points or so that we've had for the last

Opinium/Observer - CON 32, LAB 33, LD 10, UKIP 15

The fortnightly Opinium poll for the Observer is now out and shows the same sort of narrowing we've seen in other post-budget polls. Topline figures with changes from a fortnight ago are CON 32%(+2), LAB 33%(-2), LDEM 10%(nc), UKIP 15%(-1). The only other poll

YouGov/Sun - CON 35, LAB 36, LD 10, UKIP 11

This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 35%, LAB 36%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 11% (tabs here.) Over the last week YouGov's daily polls have averaged out at a two point Labour lead, compared to five or six before the budget, suggesting

Clegg v Farage debate poll

There is a YouGov/Sun instant reaction poll of people who watched the debate (weighting to be a representative sample in terms of party support and attitudes to EU membership). Result was a pretty comfortable win for Farage: 57% think Farage did better, 36% think Clegg did better. UPDATE: A

New YouGov and TNS Scottish polls

I've been entrenched in preparing Nick v Nigel debate polling (more on that later) for the last couple of day, but in the meantime there have been two new Scottish referendum polls. The new YouGov poll in the Times this morning continues the recent trend of movement towards

New YouGov and ComRes polls

There are two new voting intention polls tonight, ComRes in the Indy and YouGov in the Sun (tweeted by the Sun Politics team here). The YouGov/Sun figures show another small Labour lead, CON 36%, LAB 38%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 10%. This comes after the Labour lead shrinking to one

Populus - CON 34%, LAB 35%, LD 10%, UKIP 13%

The first of this week's two Populus polls is out and has topline figures of CON 34%, LAB 35%, LD 10%, UKIP 13%. That gives us three polls in a row from three different pollsters showing the Labour lead down to one point, though it should be noted

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 36, LAB 37, LD 9, UKIP 11

The full details of YouGov's weekly Sunday Times poll are now up online here. Topline voting intention figures are CON 36%, LAB 37%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 11%. That means two polls today, from YouGov and Survation, both show a reduced Labour lead of just one point. As ever

Survation/Mail on Sunday - CON 34, LAB 35, LD 9, UKIP 15

Survation have a post-budget poll in the Mail on Sunday tomorrow with topline voting intention figures of CON 34%(+4), LAB 35%(+1), LDEM 9%(-3), UKIP 15%(-3). Changes are from their Sky News poll in January. The one point Labour lead is the smallest Survation have shown since

First YouGov post-budget poll

YouGov's first post-budget poll is in this morning's Sun. Topline voting intentions are CON 34%, LAB 39%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 10%. Five point Labour lead is broadly normal, though obviously you want to have several polls to get an idea of whether an event has had