Tomorrow's Sun has a Survation poll of Newark, ahead of the by-election next week. Topline figures with changes since the general election are CON 36%(-18), LAB 27%(+5), LD 5%(-15), UKIP 28%(+24). This is the first poll we've had of Newark, and unless
Yesterday we had a selection of ICM polls in Liberal Democrat seats, initially released anonymously but eventually confirmed as having been commissioned by Lord Oakeshott. Oakeshott has now resigned, but left saying that Cable knew about the polls. The political row rolls on, but I'm just going to
I've been laid low with a stomach bug all day so haven't had time to really write about today's polling. For the record though here are the two new polls from Lord Ashcroft and Populus. Lord Ashcroft's poll has topline figures of
Time for a post-mortem of the European election polling. I'm not a fan of the sort of horse-race approach to these things - just because they are the final poll of the race, they still have normal margins of error, so if one pollster is a fraction more
There were three polls in the Sunday papers today. Opinium in the Observer had topline figures of CON 32%. LAB 33%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 19%. The weekly YouGov poll for the Sunday Times also had only a one point lead for the Labour party: CON 34%, LAB 35%, LDEM 9%
Lord Ashcorft has published some new polling of marginal seats, full details here. As with the ComRes marginal poll in the week the seats polled were mostly ultra-marginal seats - in this case, the 12 most marginal Con-Lab seats, the 12 most marginal Lab-Con seats, but whereas the ComRes poll
I'm having a nice rest after the election, but a brief update to add the BBC's projected national vote - CON 29%, LAB 31%, LD 13%, UKIP 17%. So in relation to my previous comments on the local results, Labour's lead is indeed only
After every local election I start with the same warning - local elections are not general elections. Fewer people vote, on different issues, and for some who don't vote on local issues it's an opportunity for a mid-term protest vote. They aren't a prediction
Polls are closed, counting in about half the councils is tonight, the other half tomorrow morning (the Press Association have a nifty list of when they expect particular councils to announce results here). Feel free to stick around and discuss results as they come in here. In the meantime, tonight&
Looking at the search terms people are arriving at the site using there are already fewer people looking for candidate information, and more people searching for exit polls. Straight answer is that there are none, and there won't be any. These days the only real exit poll done
YouGov's final European election poll is out tonight, conducted for the Sun and the Times. Topline figures are CON 22%, LAB 26%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 27%, GRN 10%. Like YouGov's recent polls it shows a very tight race for first place between UKIP and Labour, the
ComRes have a poll of marginal seats out tonight covering the forty most marginal seats with Labour and Conservative in first and second place (so 25 with Tory incumbents, 15 with Labour incumbents). Collectively the vote in these seats was CON 37%, LAB 37%, LDEM 18%, UKIP 3% at the
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