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Ipsos MORI/Standard - CON 32, LAB 35, LD 8, UKIP 12, GRN 8

Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor for the Standard is out this lunchtime, with topline figures of CON 32%(+1), LAB 35%(+1), LDEM 8%(nc), UKIP 12%(-2), GRN 8%(nc). No significant change on a month ago, though the UKIP decline from their immediate post-European election bounce

By Anthony Wells 16 Jul 2014

Latest Ashcroft, Populus and ICM polls

A week ago co-incidence spat out three polls with seven point Labour leads within 2 days. This weeks little clump of Monday polls has produced rather more typical polls from Ashcroft and Populus, and a more unusual one from ICM. Lord Ashcroft's weekly telephone poll has topline figures

By Anthony Wells 14 Jul 2014

YouGov/Sunday Times and ICM Scottish poll

This week's YouGov/Sunday Times poll is up here, with topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 38%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 12%. The biggest chunk of the rest of the survey covered the ongoing historical child abuse story. Three-quarters of the public think that it’s probably true that

By Anthony Wells 13 Jul 2014

New YouGov, Populus and Survation polls

We had a glut of seven point leads at the start of the week - from Ashcroft and Populus on Monday and YouGov on Tuesday. At the end of the week things look like they are back to normal again - we won't get Ashcroft till Monday, but

By Anthony Wells 11 Jul 2014

On volatility in polling

Two new polls out today, both good for Labour. Populus this morning had toplines of CON 31%, LAB 38%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 14% (tabs here). Lord Ashcroft's weekly poll has topline figures of CON 27%, LAB 34%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 15% (tabs here). The Ashcroft poll comes after

By Anthony Wells 07 Jul 2014

Sunday polls

A quick round up of Sunday polls today. The regular YouGov/Sunday Times poll is up here, with toplines of CON 34%, LAB 36%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 13%. A two point Labour lead, in line with the daily YouGov polls this week so far. There was also an Opinium poll

By Anthony Wells 06 Jul 2014

Latest YouGov and Populus figures

This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun had topline figures of CON 35%, LAB 36%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 12%. Tabs are here. The twice-weekly Populus poll also had a one point lead today, CON 34%, LAB 35%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 14%. Tabs are here. Polls do seem to

By Anthony Wells 04 Jul 2014

YouGov/Sun - CON 35, LAB 37, LD 8, UKIP 12

Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 35%, LAB 37%, LD 8%, UKIP 12%. Another two point lead, but it comes after a five point lead yesterday so it could still easily be margin of error. There's been a couple of other

By Anthony Wells 02 Jul 2014

Ashcroft polling of LD-Lab marginals

When you sit down to do a marginals polls one consideration is where you draw the line: what is a marginal? The thing you want to avoid is under or overshooting the real battleground - the risk is that you poll lots of seats that need a swing of up

By Anthony Wells 01 Jul 2014

ComRes and YouGov both show 2 point Labour leads

The monthly ComRes telephone poll is out tonight and has topline figures of CON 30%(nc), LAB 32%(-3), LDEM 7%(-1), UKIP 18%(+4). Changes are since the last ComRes telephone poll, just before the European election. Meanwhile the daily YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of

By Anthony Wells 30 Jun 2014

Ashcroft, Populus and ComRes marginals

Three new polls so far today - the two regular GB polls from Ashcroft and Populus and ComRes's monthly marginals poll. Lord Ashcroft's weekly poll today has topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 31%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 15%. This is the first Conservative lead in a

By Anthony Wells 30 Jun 2014

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 33, LAB 37, LD 8, UKIP 14

The weekly YouGov/Sunday Times poll is up here. Topline voting intention figures are a very normal CON 33%, LAB 37%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 14%. The rest of the poll dealt with Europe, Coulson and Iraq. Dealing with Europe first, by 40% to 14% people thought Cameron was right to

By Anthony Wells 29 Jun 2014
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