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Post-debate Survation poll shows swing to NO

This morning's Scottish Daily Mail has a new Survation poll of Scotland. Referendum voting intention figures with changes from last week are YES 37%(-3), NO 50%(+4), Don't know 13%(-1). Excluding don't knows that works out at YES 43%(-4), NO 57%

By Anthony Wells 09 Aug 2014
Marginal polls

Marginal polls

Back in May when ComRes first launched their marginal seat Omnibus I wrote about some of my reticence towards marginal polling, why it isn't usually quite as useful as it should be, and why I hoped that might change. Marginal seat polls matter because they are the seats

By Anthony Wells 07 Aug 2014

Salmond v Darling debate

Tonight is the long awaited Scottish debate between Alex Salmond and Alistair Darling. STV released their latest Ipsos MORI at the start of the debate - topline figures there are YES 40%(+4), NO 54%(nc), don't knows just 6%. Excluding don't knows that works out

By Anthony Wells 05 Aug 2014

Latest Populus and Ashcroft polls

A quick update with our regular Monday polls from Populus and Lord Ashcroft: Populus's topline figures today were CON 35%, LAB 37%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 12%, GRN 3%. Tabs are here. Ashcroft's figures are CON 30%, LAB 33%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 18%, GRN 6%. Tabs are

By Anthony Wells 04 Aug 2014

Sunday's polls - YouGov, Opinium and Survation

There are three polls in the Sunday papers today - GB polls by YouGov and Opinium, and a new Scottish poll by Survation. YouGov in the Sunday Times have tables here. Topline voting intention is CON 35%, LAB 38%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 12%, GRN 4%. The main part of the

By Anthony Wells 03 Aug 2014

YouGov London polling

Over the last couple of days the Evening Standard have been reporting the contents of a new YouGov London poll - yesterday here and today here. YouGov found London voting intentions of CON 35%(nc), LAB 45%(+3), LDEM 8%(nc), UKIP 8%(-2), GRN 4%(nc). Labour are up

By Anthony Wells 29 Jul 2014

Latest ComRes and YouGov polls

Following on from the two point and four point leads in the Ashcroft and Populus polls today the other two voting intention polls tonight both have six point Labour leads. ComRes's telephone poll for the Indy has topline figures of CON 27%(-3), LAB 33%(+1), LDEM 8%

By Anthony Wells 28 Jul 2014

Latest Populus and Ashcroft polls

It's Monday, so we have the weekly Ashcroft poll and the first of Populus's two weekly polls Populus's topline figures are CON 33%(-2), LAB 37%(nc), LDEM 9%(nc), UKIP 12%(+3) (tabs here) Ashcroft's topline figures are CON 32%(+5)

By Anthony Wells 28 Jul 2014

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 35, LAB 36, LD 8, UKIP 13

This week's YouGov results for the Sunday Times are up here. Topline figures are CON 35%, LAB 36%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 13% - a Labour lead of one point 28% now think the economy is in a good state, 36% a bad state. It's still negative,

By Anthony Wells 27 Jul 2014

YouGov/Sun - CON 35, LAB 38, LD 8, UKIP 11

Tonight's YouGov/Sun poll has topline figures of CON 35%, LAB 38%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 11%. The three point Labour lead is typical of this week's YouGov polls, which have all shown 3-4 point leads. A couple more things to flag up, earlier in the week

By Anthony Wells 24 Jul 2014

Ashcroft poll of ultra-marginals

Lord Ashcroft has released a second tranche of polls in Con-v-Lab ultramarginals, full details are here. It's a repeat of his first polling of Con-Lab seats in April and now as then, Ashcroft polled the 12 most marginal Conservative held seats with Labour in second place, plus two

By Anthony Wells 22 Jul 2014

Latest Populus and Ashcroft polls

This morning's Populus poll had topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 37%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 13%. The five point Labour lead is up from Friday's poll which had the two parties equal on 35%... but both polls are inline with the average lead of 3 points

By Anthony Wells 21 Jul 2014
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