A couple of interesting YouGov findings in yesterday's Sun and this morning's Times. Both had questions about perceptions of the state of the economy, and both showed a stark decline since earlier in the year. Regular readers will remember that there had been a pattern of
We have our regular glut of Monday polls today, with new figures from YouGov, Populus, Ashcroft and ComRes. Topline figures are: Populus - CON 32%, LAB 35%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 14%, GRN 5% (tabs) Ashcroft - CON 30%, LAB 32%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 16%, GRN 6% (tabs) YouGov/Sun -
An update on the Lord Ashcroft constituency polling from last week. Looking at the tables for Doncaster North - Ed Miliband's seat - the weighting appears to be seriously askew, weighted as if the seat had a Conservative majority at the previous election. I've spoken to
This week's YouGov/Sunday Times results are now up here. Topline figures are CON 32%, LAB 34%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 15%, GRN 6%, with additional questions on a wide range of different issues: Terrorism 33% of people think that Theresa May is doing well as Home Secretary, 41%
Lord Ashcroft has published a new batch of constituency polling. I hesitate to call it marginals polling, since we've moving up into some less marginal territory with today's polls. Ashcroft has polled four different groups of seats in this set (all the tabs are here.) The
ComRes released their latest poll of marginal seats today. As regular readers will recall, ComRes's marginal polls cover the 40 most marginal Con-v-Lab seats (25 Conservative held, 15 Labour held). Unlike Lord Ashcroft's marginal polls (which are actually a series of individual constituency polls in seats
We have our usual rush of Monday polls today, all showing a slightly healthier Labour lead than of late. The first of Populus's two twice weekly polls had topline figures of CON 31%, LAB 36%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 15%, GRN 5% (tabs). Populus's average so far
Full tabs for the YouGov/Sun on Sunday poll are now up here. The slightly larger sample than usual was to make sure they had a good sub-sample of Sun readers, which the Sun used in yesterday's analysis of the poll to look at what their own readers
There are three polls in this Sunday's papers - Opinium in the Observer and two separate YouGov polls, one in the Sunday Times and one in the Sun on Sunday. Opinium has topline voting intention figures of CON 30%(+1), LAB 33%(+1), LDEM 7%(-2), UKIP 19%
Today is the Rochester and Strood by-election. After every by-election I see the same questions and I write essentially the same post. Given that, I thought I might as well write it before the result: whatever happens in the Rochester and Strood by-election it won't tell us anything
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 34%, LAB 33%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 14%, GRN 6%. It has a Tory lead of one point, following a Labour lead in yesterday's YouGov/Sun poll. Realistically we are in a position where the two
Survation had a new Scottish poll out for the Daily Record this morning. It showed the same sort of surge in SNP support that we've seen in other recent Scottish polls from Ipsos MORI, YouGov and Panelbase - in this case Westminster voting intentions are CON 17%, LAB
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