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YouGov/Sun Scottish poll gives SNP twenty point lead

I'm out this evening so won't be around to write about the new ComRes/Independent on Sunday poll we are due or the regular YouGov/Sunday Times poll, but in meantime just to note the latest YouGov Scottish poll in this morning's Sun. The

By Anthony Wells 13 Dec 2014
Does the rise of UKIP hurt the Conservatives or Labour more?

Does the rise of UKIP hurt the Conservatives or Labour more?

The British Election Study held an event today showcasing some of their latest research. It seems to have provoked another round of the familiar discussion of "does the rise of UKIP hurt Labour or the Conservatives more?". What should perhaps be a bit of an academic question has

By Anthony Wells 09 Dec 2014

Latest Populus, Ashcroft and YouGov polls

Monday is the busiest day each week for polling results, though today we have just the three regulars - YouGov's daily poll, Populus's twice weekly poll and Ashcroft's weekly poll. Topline figures are: Populus - CON 33%, LAB 36%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 15%, GRN

By Anthony Wells 08 Dec 2014

YouGov/Sunday Times- CON 32, LAB 32, LDEM 6, UKIP 17, GRN 7

This week's YouGov/Sunday Times poll is now up here. Topline figures are CON 32%, LAB 32%, LDEM 6%, UKIP 17%, GRN 7%. With Labour and the Conservatives still neck-and-neck this is very much in line with the YouGov polling before the Autumn Statement. Note the level of

By Anthony Wells 07 Dec 2014

Falling economic optimism

A couple of interesting YouGov findings in yesterday's Sun and this morning's Times. Both had questions about perceptions of the state of the economy, and both showed a stark decline since earlier in the year. Regular readers will remember that there had been a pattern of

By Anthony Wells 04 Dec 2014

Monday polling round-up

We have our regular glut of Monday polls today, with new figures from YouGov, Populus, Ashcroft and ComRes. Topline figures are: Populus - CON 32%, LAB 35%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 14%, GRN 5% (tabs) Ashcroft - CON 30%, LAB 32%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 16%, GRN 6% (tabs) YouGov/Sun -

By Anthony Wells 01 Dec 2014

Update on the Lord Ashcroft Doncaster poll

An update on the Lord Ashcroft constituency polling from last week. Looking at the tables for Doncaster North - Ed Miliband's seat - the weighting appears to be seriously askew, weighted as if the seat had a Conservative majority at the previous election. I've spoken to

By Anthony Wells 01 Dec 2014

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 32, LAB 34, LDEM 7, UKIP 15, GRN 6

This week's YouGov/Sunday Times results are now up here. Topline figures are CON 32%, LAB 34%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 15%, GRN 6%, with additional questions on a wide range of different issues: Terrorism 33% of people think that Theresa May is doing well as Home Secretary, 41%

By Anthony Wells 30 Nov 2014

Ashcroft polls of the Lib Dem battleground and leaders' seats

Lord Ashcroft has published a new batch of constituency polling. I hesitate to call it marginals polling, since we've moving up into some less marginal territory with today's polls. Ashcroft has polled four different groups of seats in this set (all the tabs are here.) The

By Anthony Wells 27 Nov 2014

ComRes poll of marginal seats

ComRes released their latest poll of marginal seats today. As regular readers will recall, ComRes's marginal polls cover the 40 most marginal Con-v-Lab seats (25 Conservative held, 15 Labour held). Unlike Lord Ashcroft's marginal polls (which are actually a series of individual constituency polls in seats

By Anthony Wells 26 Nov 2014

Latest Populus, Ashcroft and YouGov polls

We have our usual rush of Monday polls today, all showing a slightly healthier Labour lead than of late. The first of Populus's two twice weekly polls had topline figures of CON 31%, LAB 36%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 15%, GRN 5% (tabs). Populus's average so far

By Anthony Wells 24 Nov 2014

No, UKIP aren't in second place

Full tabs for the YouGov/Sun on Sunday poll are now up here. The slightly larger sample than usual was to make sure they had a good sub-sample of Sun readers, which the Sun used in yesterday's analysis of the poll to look at what their own readers

By Anthony Wells 24 Nov 2014
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