The monthly ICM poll for the Guardian came out today, with topline figures of CON 28%(-3), LAB 33%(+1), LDEM 14%(+3), UKIP 14%(nc), GRN 5%(-1). Tabs are here. There's a movement from Con to Lab since ICM's previous poll, but nothing that
We're clearly heading towards the Christmas polling break - we've still got the usual Populus poll this morning and YouGov poll tonight, but the weekly Lord Ashcroft poll has shut up shop for the year. All the regular polls tend to stop over Christmas - ostensibly
Two new polls in the Sunday papers. This week's YouGov/Sunday Times results are here - topline figures are CON 32%, LAB 32%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 16%, GRN 7%. The YouGov poll also had questions on the end of the Parliament: the majority of people (56%) think that
I'm out this evening so won't be around to write about the new ComRes/Independent on Sunday poll we are due or the regular YouGov/Sunday Times poll, but in meantime just to note the latest YouGov Scottish poll in this morning's Sun. The
The British Election Study held an event today showcasing some of their latest research. It seems to have provoked another round of the familiar discussion of "does the rise of UKIP hurt Labour or the Conservatives more?". What should perhaps be a bit of an academic question has
Monday is the busiest day each week for polling results, though today we have just the three regulars - YouGov's daily poll, Populus's twice weekly poll and Ashcroft's weekly poll. Topline figures are: Populus - CON 33%, LAB 36%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 15%, GRN
This week's YouGov/Sunday Times poll is now up here. Topline figures are CON 32%, LAB 32%, LDEM 6%, UKIP 17%, GRN 7%. With Labour and the Conservatives still neck-and-neck this is very much in line with the YouGov polling before the Autumn Statement. Note the level of
A couple of interesting YouGov findings in yesterday's Sun and this morning's Times. Both had questions about perceptions of the state of the economy, and both showed a stark decline since earlier in the year. Regular readers will remember that there had been a pattern of
We have our regular glut of Monday polls today, with new figures from YouGov, Populus, Ashcroft and ComRes. Topline figures are: Populus - CON 32%, LAB 35%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 14%, GRN 5% (tabs) Ashcroft - CON 30%, LAB 32%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 16%, GRN 6% (tabs) YouGov/Sun -
An update on the Lord Ashcroft constituency polling from last week. Looking at the tables for Doncaster North - Ed Miliband's seat - the weighting appears to be seriously askew, weighted as if the seat had a Conservative majority at the previous election. I've spoken to
This week's YouGov/Sunday Times results are now up here. Topline figures are CON 32%, LAB 34%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 15%, GRN 6%, with additional questions on a wide range of different issues: Terrorism 33% of people think that Theresa May is doing well as Home Secretary, 41%
Lord Ashcroft has published a new batch of constituency polling. I hesitate to call it marginals polling, since we've moving up into some less marginal territory with today's polls. Ashcroft has polled four different groups of seats in this set (all the tabs are here.) The
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