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Lib Dem private polling

The Lib Dems have been out and about briefing journalists about what their polling shows. This morning the Guardian, May 2015 and The Spectator have all written about it. Private polling always has a certain allure when spoken of in the media, there is that whiff of forbidden, insider knowledge.

By Anthony Wells 20 Feb 2015

Ashcroft polls in UKIP targets & Survation in Scotland

Some interesting non-GB polls today. First up Lord Ashcroft has released four constituency polls in Conservative held seats targeted by UKIP. The four seats are Boston and Skegness, Castle Point, South Basildon and East Thurrock and North East Cambridgeshire. North East Cambridgeshire seems like a rather odd choice to begin

By Anthony Wells 19 Feb 2015

Two types of outlier

This morning TNS released a new poll showing figures of CON 28%, LAB 35%, LDEM 6%, UKIP 18%, GRN 7% (tabs). The seven point Labour lead is striking, and out of line from the broader trend. Usual caveats apply, but for once I haven't seen many people over-react

By Anthony Wells 18 Feb 2015

Monday polls

It's Monday, so we have the usual rush of polls - the daily YouGov, twice-weekly Populus, weekly Ashcroft and monthly ICM. I'll update this post as they come in, and do a round up at the end of the day. Populus have topline figures of CON

By Anthony Wells 16 Feb 2015

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 32, LAB 35, LD 7, UKIP 15, GRN 7

This week's YouGov results for the Sunday Times are here. Topline voting intention figures are CON 32%, LAB 35%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 15%, GRN 7%. This is a second YouGov poll in a row showing a three point lead. That could possibly be an impact from a week

By Anthony Wells 15 Feb 2015

Latest Opinion and ComRes polls

We have three GB polls due in the Sunday papers, Opinium in the Observer, ComRes in the Sunday Indy/Sunday Mirror and YouGov in the Sunday Times. We have the first two already, YouGov will follow later on tonight or tomorow morning. Opinium have topline figures of CON 33%(+1)

By Anthony Wells 14 Feb 2015

12 weeks to go

Here are this week's polls YouGov/S Times (6/2/15) - CON 32%, LAB 33%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 15%, GRN 8% Opinium/Observer (6/2/15) - CON 32%, LAB 34%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 15%, GRN 8% Ashcroft (8/2/15) - CON 34%, LAB 31%, LDEM

By Anthony Wells 13 Feb 2015

How to read a marginals poll

I've my usual weekly update to do later tonight or tomorrow morning, but in the meantime a quick note on the new ComRes poll of marginal seats, which has tables here. My heart always sort of falls when I see a marginal seats poll, as I know how

By Anthony Wells 13 Feb 2015

Latest MORI poll and the UKIP trend

The monthly Ipsos MORI poll for the Standard is out and has topline figures of CON 34%(+1), LAB 36%(+2), LDEM 6%(-2), UKIP 9%(-2), GRN 7%(-1). MORI tend to give UKIP some of their lower figures anyway, but this is the first poll from any company

By Anthony Wells 12 Feb 2015

YouGov/Sun CON 32, LAB 33, LD 7, UKIP 15, GRN 7

The regular YouGov/Sun poll tonight has topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 33%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 15%, GRN 7% - YouGov continue to show the two main parties extremely close, normally within a point of each other. Earlier on today we also had a new poll of student voters

By Anthony Wells 11 Feb 2015

TNS Scottish poll

This morning TNS released a new Scottish poll. Topline Westminster voting intention figures are CON 16%, LAB 31%, LDEM 4%, SNP 41%, GRN 6%, UKIP 2% (tabs here). Under normal circumstances these would obviously be good figures for the SNP, but these are not normal circumstances and it's

By Anthony Wells 10 Feb 2015

Latest Populus and Ashcroft polls

Two of our regular Monday polls are out: The weekly Lord Ashcroft poll has topline figures of CON 34%, LAB 31%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 14%, GRN 6%. Full tabs are here. The twice weekly Populus poll has toplines of CON 33%, LAB 34%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 15%, GRN 4%. Full

By Anthony Wells 09 Feb 2015
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