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Latest YouGov Scottish polling

There is a new YouGov Scottish poll in this morning's Times. Topline Holyrood voting intentions are pretty much unchanged from YouGov's last Scottish poll a month ago, just before Jeremy Corbyn became Labour leader. Constituency vote stands are CON 19%(+1), LAB 21%(-1), LDEM 5%

By Anthony Wells 15 Oct 2015

ICM/Guardian - CON 38, LAB 34, LD 7, UKIP 11, GRN 3

The monthly ICM poll for the Guardian is out today and has topline figures of CON 38%, LAB 34%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 11%, GRN 3%. The four point Conservative lead is the smallest since the election - while Jeremy Corbyn maybe getting some mediocre personal poll ratings, it does not

By Anthony Wells 12 Oct 2015

Latest EU referendum polling

We've had two "new" polls on EU membership this week (the inverted commas are there becuase while the ICM poll out today has fresh fieldwork, the ComRes poll earlier in the week was actually done at the end of September). ICM's latest figures have

By Anthony Wells 09 Oct 2015

YouGov/Sun - CON 37, LAB 31, LDEM 7, UKIP 17, GRN 2

The Sun had fresh YouGov voting intention figures today, fieldwork conducted straight after Jeremy Corbyn's speech. Topline figures are CON 37%(-2), LAB 31%(nc), LDEM 7%(+1), UKIP 17%(+1) - changes are since YouGov's last poll in mid-September, just after Jeremy Corbyn became leader.

By Anthony Wells 02 Oct 2015

ComRes/Mail - CON 39, LAB 30, LD 9, UKIP 12

ComRes released their monthly telephone poll for the Daily Mail last night, topline figures were CON 39%, LAB 30%, LD 9%, UKIP 12%, GRN 4%. While the nine point Conservative lead looks similar to most recent polls, note that ComRes have been showing larger Conservative leads of late (typically around

By Anthony Wells 30 Sep 2015

Latest YouGov Welsh and EU figures

There are two new bits of YouGov polling today. First up is the regular Welsh political barometer. The usual caveats apply about it being just one poll, but it shows Labour support perking up in Wales since Jeremy Corbyn's election - Westminster voting intentions with changes from last

By Anthony Wells 28 Sep 2015

Ipsos MORI/Standard - CON 39, LAB 34, LD 9, UKIP 7, GRN 4

Ipsos MORI have published their September political monitor for the Evening Standard. Topline voting intention figures are CON 39%, LAB 34%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 7%, GRN 4%. MORI have made another methodological change in the light of the polling error at the general election. Previously they had started including how

By Anthony Wells 24 Sep 2015

Previewing the EU referendum battle

Over on the YouGov website I've written a long piece looking at how the ground lies ahead of the European referendum campaign - what the breakdown of support and opposition currently is, how people perceive those who support and oppose Europe, how effective the arguments might be and

By Anthony Wells 22 Sep 2015

Latest ComRes and YouGov polls

ComRes and YouGov both had post-Corbyn polls in the Indy on Sunday/Sunday Mirror and Sunday Times respectively. Tabs are here - Comres, YouGov. ComRes had topline voting intention figures of CON 42% (+2), LAB 30%(+1), LDEM 7%(-1), UKIP 13%(nc), GRN 3%(-1). Changes are since their

By Anthony Wells 20 Sep 2015

Interpreting more or less likely to vote questions

I really don't like "does X make you more or less likely to vote" questions. On policy questions they are particularly abhorrent as they are used to try and measure salience - or more often, to try and deliberately overstate the salience of an issue. It&

By Anthony Wells 19 Sep 2015

First YouGov polling on Corbyn

YouGov had a poll in this morning's Times asking some first impressions of Jeremy Corbyn from what people had seen so far (tables here). 31% of people said they were delighted or pleased by Corbyn's victory, 34% of people were disappointed or dismayed - 35% had

By Anthony Wells 17 Sep 2015

A year since the Scottish referendum

Friday is the anniversary of the Scottish independence referendum, so we've had a flux of Scottish polls over the weekend from YouGov, Panelbase and Survation. They mostly covered the same ground - should there be another referendum and how would people vote, and how people will vote in

By Anthony Wells 16 Sep 2015
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