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New ComRes and BMG voting intentions

We have two new voting intention polls today. First is a telephone poll from ComRes for the Daily Mail - topline figures are CON 38%(-1), LAB 33%(+3), LDEM 8%(-1), UKIP 10%(-2), GRN 3%(-1). Since introducing their new turnout model based on socio-economic factors ComRes have

By Anthony Wells 30 Oct 2015

A note about tonight's IER vote

A quick note on the Individual Electoral Registration vote tonight and what it means, since I fear it will be badly reported elsewhere. As readers may know, electoral registration has now moved over from household registration (where one member of the household filled in a form to register everyone) to

By Anthony Wells 27 Oct 2015

YouGov on tax credits & latest MORI voting intentions

YouGov have some polling out on attitudes towards the government's tax credit changes - full tabs are here. They suggest that the policy is seen as unfair, and seen as likely to have a negative financial effect upon most recipients... but people are evely divided on whether it

By Anthony Wells 26 Oct 2015

Voodoo polling corner

Back in 2012 I wrote about the Observer reporting an open-access poll on a website campaigning against the government's health bill as if it was representative of members of the Royal College of Physicians. I also wrote to the Observer's readers' editor, Stephen Pritchard, who

By Anthony Wells 21 Oct 2015

Latest ICM EU Referendum figures - REMAIN 44, LEAVE 38

ICM's latest weekly tracker on the EU referendum has voting intentions of REMAIN 44%(-1), LEAVE 38%(+2). The gap has narrowed since last week, but doesn't reflect any real trend: looking at ICM's EU polls since the referendum wording was changed they'

By Anthony Wells 20 Oct 2015

EU Referendum

EU Membership Referendum Referendum Question/voting intention Polls asking referendum voting intention including the wording of the proposed referendum. Note that the wording of the question was changed from September 2015 on the recommendation of the Electoral Commission. DateRemainLeaveWNV or DKRemainLeave Survation/IG20/6/20164544115149 YouGov/Times19/6/20164244134951 ORB/

By Anthony Wells 20 Oct 2015

ComRes/Indy on Sunday - CON 42, LAB 29, LD 7, UKIP 13, GRN 3

ComRes's monthly online poll for the Independent on Sunday is out today and has topline figures of CON 42%(nc), LAB 29%(-1), LDEM 7%(nc), UKIP 13%(nc), GRN 3%(nc). There is no significant change in support since last month. For those intrigued by the big

By Anthony Wells 18 Oct 2015

What polls say about grammar schools

The biggest political news story today is the government's decision to allow the opening of a de facto new grammar school in Kent (it's illegal to actually open a new grammar school, so technically it's a second site for an existing grammar school in

By Anthony Wells 15 Oct 2015

Latest YouGov Scottish polling

There is a new YouGov Scottish poll in this morning's Times. Topline Holyrood voting intentions are pretty much unchanged from YouGov's last Scottish poll a month ago, just before Jeremy Corbyn became Labour leader. Constituency vote stands are CON 19%(+1), LAB 21%(-1), LDEM 5%

By Anthony Wells 15 Oct 2015

ICM/Guardian - CON 38, LAB 34, LD 7, UKIP 11, GRN 3

The monthly ICM poll for the Guardian is out today and has topline figures of CON 38%, LAB 34%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 11%, GRN 3%. The four point Conservative lead is the smallest since the election - while Jeremy Corbyn maybe getting some mediocre personal poll ratings, it does not

By Anthony Wells 12 Oct 2015

Latest EU referendum polling

We've had two "new" polls on EU membership this week (the inverted commas are there becuase while the ICM poll out today has fresh fieldwork, the ComRes poll earlier in the week was actually done at the end of September). ICM's latest figures have

By Anthony Wells 09 Oct 2015

YouGov/Sun - CON 37, LAB 31, LDEM 7, UKIP 17, GRN 2

The Sun had fresh YouGov voting intention figures today, fieldwork conducted straight after Jeremy Corbyn's speech. Topline figures are CON 37%(-2), LAB 31%(nc), LDEM 7%(+1), UKIP 17%(+1) - changes are since YouGov's last poll in mid-September, just after Jeremy Corbyn became leader.

By Anthony Wells 02 Oct 2015
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