I'm just catching up on the YouGov London poll earlier in the week for LBC - full tabs are here. Last May Labour enjoyed a solid swing in their favour in London and ended up nine points ahead of the Tories, they've largely maintained that support
Over the New Year the Times had an end of year YouGov poll, conducted in mid-December. The tables went up on the YouGov website today here. Topline figures were CON 39%, LAB 29%, LDEM 6%, UKIP 17%, GRN 3%. The rest of the poll, covering a lot of the trackers
2015 is unlikely to be remembered as a high point in opinion polling. In the months since the election I've spoken at various events and appeared on various panels, and at almost every one at some point there's been a question from the audience along the
ICM released their final monthly voting intention poll of 2015 yesterday, with topline figures of CON 39%, LAB 34%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 10%, GRN 3%. I assume it's the last voting intention poll we will see before Christmas. The full tables are here, where ICM also make an
Opinium have a new poll in today's Observer - topline figures are CON 38%, LAB 30%, LDEM 5%, UKIP 16%, GRN 5%. Tabs are here. The rest of the poll largely concentrated on leadership questions. Cameron's approval rating stands at minus 6, Corbyn at minus 25,
Yesterday there were two EU referendum polls showing the race essentially neck-and-neck. Today there are two more EU referendum polls, but both of these have REMAIN with a solid looking twenty-plus point lead. ComRes for OpenEurope have topline EU voting intention figures of REMAIN 56%, LEAVE 35% (tabs are here)
A quick update on EU referendum polling. The regular weekly ICM poll today has topline figures of REMAIN 42%, LEAVE 41%. This is closer than ICM have been showing of late - typically they've had REMAIN with a lead of around six points - but as ever, it&
The monthly ComRes online poll for the Indy on Sunday and Sunday Mirror is out today and has topline figures of CON 40%(-2), LAB 29%(+2), LDEM 7%(nc), UKIP 16%(+1), GRN 3%(nc). The changes since last month are likely just a reversion to the mean -
Today YouGov have put out their diagnosis of what what wrong at the election - the paper is summarised here and the full report, co-authored by Doug Rivers and myself, can be downloaded here. As is almost inevitable with investigations like this there were lots of small issues that couldn&
One day I'm going to write a generic post by-election post labelled (insert constituency name here) that I can repost after every by-election. Until that day, here's my traditional answer to what last night's by-election tells us about the national political picture: not much.
YouGov and the Times have some fresh Syria polling tonight, conducted on Monday evening and during the day on Tuesday. It shows a sharp drop in support for airstrikes since YouGov's polling a week ago, but the overall balance of opinion is still in favour: 48% now support
I thought it a good opportunity to provide a round up of the available evidence we have about what the public think of airstrikes against Islamic State in Syria... and to give a reminder to people of what is NOT good evidence. First, here's the recent polling evidence:
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