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And some more EU referendum polling...

Yesterday there were two EU referendum polls showing the race essentially neck-and-neck. Today there are two more EU referendum polls, but both of these have REMAIN with a solid looking twenty-plus point lead. ComRes for OpenEurope have topline EU voting intention figures of REMAIN 56%, LEAVE 35% (tabs are here)

By Anthony Wells 16 Dec 2015

Referendum polling update

A quick update on EU referendum polling. The regular weekly ICM poll today has topline figures of REMAIN 42%, LEAVE 41%. This is closer than ICM have been showing of late - typically they've had REMAIN with a lead of around six points - but as ever, it&

By Anthony Wells 15 Dec 2015

ComRes/Indy on Sunday - CON 40, LAB 29, LD 7, UKIP 16, GRN 3

The monthly ComRes online poll for the Indy on Sunday and Sunday Mirror is out today and has topline figures of CON 40%(-2), LAB 29%(+2), LDEM 7%(nc), UKIP 16%(+1), GRN 3%(nc). The changes since last month are likely just a reversion to the mean -

By Anthony Wells 13 Dec 2015

What Went Wrong

Today YouGov have put out their diagnosis of what what wrong at the election - the paper is summarised here and the full report, co-authored by Doug Rivers and myself, can be downloaded here. As is almost inevitable with investigations like this there were lots of small issues that couldn&

By Anthony Wells 07 Dec 2015

Oldham by-election

One day I'm going to write a generic post by-election post labelled (insert constituency name here) that I can repost after every by-election. Until that day, here's my traditional answer to what last night's by-election tells us about the national political picture: not much.

By Anthony Wells 04 Dec 2015

Syria polling update

YouGov and the Times have some fresh Syria polling tonight, conducted on Monday evening and during the day on Tuesday. It shows a sharp drop in support for airstrikes since YouGov's polling a week ago, but the overall balance of opinion is still in favour: 48% now support

By Anthony Wells 01 Dec 2015

Syria polling round up and a reminder about voodoo polls

I thought it a good opportunity to provide a round up of the available evidence we have about what the public think of airstrikes against Islamic State in Syria... and to give a reminder to people of what is NOT good evidence. First, here's the recent polling evidence:

By Anthony Wells 28 Nov 2015

Latest YouGov polling on Syria

YouGov have published some fresh polling on Syria to coincide with David Cameron's statement today, though the fieldwork obviously preceded it. Approval for British participation in air strikes against ISIS in Syria now stands at 59%, 20% would disapprove. Asked about sending British and American ground troops back

By Anthony Wells 26 Nov 2015

YouGov poll of Labour party members

Today's Times has a new YouGov poll of Labour party members and registered supporters (so members, registered trade unionists and £3 supporters - the same group who were able to vote in the Labour leadership election). Full tabs are here. 65% thought Jeremy Corbyn was doing well as

By Anthony Wells 24 Nov 2015

ComRes/Indy on Sunday - CON 42, LAB 27, LD 7, UKIP 15, GRN 3

ComRes have their monthly online poll for the Independent on Sunday & Sunday Mirror out tonight. Topline figures are CON 42%(nc), LAB 27%(-2), LDEM 7%(nc), UKIP 15(+2), GRN 3%(nc). You have to go all the way back to 2010 to find a lower Labour

By Anthony Wells 21 Nov 2015

Ipsos MORI/Standard - CON 41, LAB 34, LD 7, UKIP 7, GRN 4

Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor for the Standard is out today - topline figures with changes from last month are CON 41%(+5), LAB 34%(+2), LDEM 7%(-3), UKIP 7%(-5), GRN 4%(+1). The big drop in UKIP support is probably nothing, last month's

By Anthony Wells 19 Nov 2015
YouGov on Syrian refugees and ISIS intervention

YouGov on Syrian refugees and ISIS intervention

YouGov have some polling for the Times on attitudes to terrorism and Syria following the attack on Paris. The full results are here, and the Times's write up is here. There are two important findings in there. One is attitudes towards Syrian refugees. Back in September YouGov found

By Anthony Wells 18 Nov 2015
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