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ICM/Guardian - CON 36, LAB 36, LD 8, UKIP 11

ICM have released their monthly poll for the Guardian, topline figures with changes from last month are CON 36%(-3), LAB 36%(+4), LDEM 8%(+1), UKIP 11%(nc), GRN 3%(-1). Full tables (and Martin Boon's very wary commentary) are here. It is the first poll since

By Anthony Wells 14 Mar 2016

ComRes/Indy on Sunday - CON 38, LAB 29, LD 7, UKIP 16, GRN 4

ComRes have their monthly online poll for the Indy on Sunday and Sunday Mirror tomorrow. Topline voting intention figures are CON 38%(-3), LAB 29%(+2), LDEM 7%(-2), UKIP 16%(+1), GRN 4%(+1). The Conservative lead has dropped five points since last month, but that still leaves it

By Anthony Wells 12 Mar 2016

Will polls overestimate Labour in May?

Last year the election polls got it wrong. Since then most pollsters have made only minor interim changes - ComRes, BMG and YouGov have conducted the biggest overhauls, many others have made only tweaks, and all the companies have said they are continuing to look at further potential changes in

By Anthony Wells 10 Mar 2016

Opinium show Khan ahead in mayoral race

It's been almost two months since we've had any polling on the London mayoral race, but Opinium have released a new poll today showing Sadiq Khan still ahead. First round preferences are Khan 31%, Goldsmith 26%, Whittle 2%, Berry 2%, Pidgeon 2%, Galloway here.

By Anthony Wells 08 Mar 2016

YouGov - Remain 40%, Leave 37%

YouGov have released some fresh EU polling, a batch of five new polls conducted in the last two weeks. The most recent poll, conducted on Wednesday and Thursday, has topline figures of Remain 40%, Leave 37% and the three polls before that also showed Remain with a small lead. While

By Anthony Wells 05 Mar 2016

YouGov poll of Tory members

Earlier this week there was a new YouGov poll of Conservative party members in the Times or, more specifically, two new polls of Conservative party members: YouGov polled the same party members before and after Boris Johnson came out in favour of leaving the EU to see what impact it

By Anthony Wells 03 Mar 2016

New TNS and Survation Scottish polls

There were two new polls on the Scottish Parliament elections today - a new TNS face-to-face poll and a new Survation online poll. Note that while they are both newly published the different methodologies mean that the Survation fieldwork is far newer than TNS's - Survation polled over

By Anthony Wells 01 Mar 2016

The new boundary review gets going

Yesterday the review of the Parliamentary boundaries for the next general election kicked off - not that there is much to see yet. The English, Welsh, Scottish and Northern Ireland Boundary Commissions announced the beginning of the review, the electorate figures which they'll be working off, and the

By Anthony Wells 25 Feb 2016

New YouGov and ComRes EU polls

There are two new polls on the EU referendum out tonight - YouGov for the Times and ComRes for the Mail. YouGov have topline figures of REMAIN 37%, LEAVE 38%, DK/WNV 25%; ComRes have topline figures of REMAIN 51%, LEAVE 39%, DK 10%. ComRes was asked Friday to Monday

By Anthony Wells 23 Feb 2016

More of YouGov's Labour members poll

The next part of YouGov's poll of Labour party members for Ian Warren is out here, dealing with the party leadership. Approval of Jeremy Corbyn among Labour party members remains solid - 72% of party members approve of him, 17% disapprove. So while there is a rump of

By Anthony Wells 23 Feb 2016

New ICM EU polling and YouGov Labour members survey

ICM have released their weekly tracker on the EU referendum. The poll was conducted between Friday evening and today, so it was after Cameron's EU deal was announced but was almost entirely before Boris Johnson endorsed the leave campaign (only eleven responses are "post-Boris"). Topline voting

By Anthony Wells 22 Feb 2016

Latest MORI and ICM referendum polling

There are two new polls on the EU referendum today. While the YouGov and ComRes polls conducted after the draft renegotiation showed a sharp movement towards LEAVE, these two paint a far steadier picture (though given one is online and one was conducted by phone, their overall figures contrast with

By Anthony Wells 17 Feb 2016
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