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YouGov members poll shows Corbyn beating Eagle or Smith by 20+ points

The Times tomorrow has fresh YouGov polling of Labour members suggesting Jeremy Corbyn is comfortably ahead of both challengers. Asked their first preference Jeremy Corbyn leads with 54% to Angela Eagle's 21% and Own Smith's 15%. Corbyn easily wins in a head-to-head run off against either

By Anthony Wells 18 Jul 2016

ICM/Sun on Sunday - CON 39, LAB 29, LD 9, UKIP 14

ICM have a new poll in the Sun on Sunday with topline figures of CON 39%(+1), LAB 29%(-1), LDEM 9%(+1), UKIP 14%(-1), GRN 4%(nc). This is the first poll conducted since Theresa May became Prime Minister, so may be expected to show a typical "

By Anthony Wells 17 Jul 2016

Ipsos MORI/Standard - CON 36, LAB 35, LD 11, UKIP 8

Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor has a much closer race than ICM's last poll. Topline figures are CON 36%, LAB 35%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 8%, GRN 4% (full tabs are here.) The poll was conducted over the weekend before Theresa May became Prime Minister, though did

By Anthony Wells 14 Jul 2016

ICM - CON 38%, LAB 30%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 15

The Conservative leadership election is abruptly over while a Labour leadership election begins. No doubt there will be polling on those over the next couple of weeks. In the meantime ICM put out a new voting intention poll today, with topline figures of CON 38%, LAB 30%, LDEM 8%, UKIP

By Anthony Wells 11 Jul 2016

YouGov/Times - MAY 63%, LEADSOM 31%

The Times this morning has updated YouGov polling of Conservative party members, now that the final list of candidates is known and ahead of the first MP's vote today. A week ago YouGov had Theresa May leading on 36% to Boris Johnson on 27% and winning by 55%

By Anthony Wells 05 Jul 2016

Last week's Labour Leadership Polling

I've had a break from the blog over the last few days, so I missed a YouGov poll of Labour members last week which suggested the first cracks in the hitherto solid support for Jeremy Corbyn among Labour members. Back in May 72% of Labour members thought Corbyn

By Anthony Wells 04 Jul 2016

YouGov poll of Conservative party members - MAY 55%, JOHNSON 38%

Tomorrow's Times has a poll of Conservative party members about the forthcoming leadership election, showing Theresa May ahead of the supposed favourite, Boris Johnson. Asked who would they would prefer as party leader May is on 36% to Johnson's 27% (Andrea Leadsom and Stephen Crabb are

By Anthony Wells 29 Jun 2016

YouGov show May and Johnson neck-and-neck as public choice for next Tory leader

The Times have a YouGov poll tomorrow asking who people want to see as the next Conservative leader. Now, this is a question that I had got a bit bored of asking over the years: almost always Boris Johnson wins easily - he is the most recognisable of the Tory

By Anthony Wells 28 Jun 2016
EU referendum post-mortem

EU referendum post-mortem

If I were TNS or Opinium I would be rather annoyed today. Looking through social media, twitter and so forth there are lots of comments about the polls all being wrong and it being a terrible night for the pollsters, etc, etc. Both TNS and Opinium had final call figures

By Anthony Wells 24 Jun 2016

Eve-of-Referendum polling

It's the eve of the referendum, so we have a flurry of late polls. Later on this evening we will have figures from ComRes and YouGov (Ipsos MORI's final poll is normally in the Standard, so will probably be out tomorrow morning), already we have final

By Anthony Wells 22 Jun 2016

Tuesday polls

Two more polls have been released during today, both showing the race essentially neck and neck. Survation have released their final EU telephone poll for IG Group (not sure if that's their final poll for the referendum itself, or just the final one for IG). Topline figures with

By Anthony Wells 21 Jun 2016

YouGov, ORB and Natcen polls

There are three polls in tomorrow morning's papers - ORB in the telephone, YouGov in the Times and a NatCen poll in the Financial Times. YouGov for the Times has topline figures of REMAIN 42%(-2), LEAVE 44%(+1), Don't know or Won't vote

By Anthony Wells 20 Jun 2016
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