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YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 49, LAB 31, LD 9, UKIP 3

The YouGov/Sunday Times poll this morning has topline voting intention figures of CON 49%, LAB 31%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 3%. As with most other recent polls, it shows a very large Conservative lead, Labour creeping up slightly and the smaller parties being squeezed. This is the first time YouGov

By Anthony Wells 14 May 2017

Saturday night polls from ORB, Opinium and ComRes

ORB's weekly poll in the Sunday Telegraph has topline figures of CON 46%(nc), LAB 32%(+1), LDEM 8%(-1), UKIP 7%(-1). The changes since last week are by themselves insignificant, though it's worth noting that the Labour share of 32% is the highest they&

By Anthony Wells 13 May 2017

ComRes poll on the leaked Labour manifesto

Yesterday I wrote about how manifesto policies don't really have much effect on voting intentions. Today's ComRes poll for the Daily Mirror neatly illustrates it. The poll asked about the individual policies in Labour's leaked manifesto and found strong support for almost all of

By Anthony Wells 12 May 2017

Some thoughts on manifestos

Last night we got a leaked version of the Labour manifesto. Over the next week it will be joined by the manifestos from all the other parties too. Lots of people will write articles about their impact. We will see polls asking about those policies and whether people approve of

By Anthony Wells 11 May 2017

YouGov/Evening Standard poll of London - CON 36, LAB 41, LDEM 14, UKIP 6

The Evening Standard has a new YouGov poll of voting intentions in London, the first London poll we've seen since the election was called. Topline voting intention figures are CON 36%(+2), LAB 41%(+4), LDEM 14%(nc), UKIP 6%(-3). Changes are from the last YouGov London

By Anthony Wells 10 May 2017

Kantar and Survation voting intention polls

There have been two new voting intention polls today. A new Kantar poll has topline figures of CON 44%(-4), LAB 28%(+4), LDEM 11%(nc), UKIP 8%(+1). The Tory lead has narrowed significantly since their previous poll a week ago, but this is likely to something of a

By Anthony Wells 09 May 2017

ICM voting intentions and YouGov Welsh poll

ICM's weekly poll for the Guardian has topline figures of CON 49%, LAB 27%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 6%, GRN 3%. This is the first poll we've seen since the local government elections, and has the Tories back up to a lead of 22 points (indeed, according

By Anthony Wells 08 May 2017

Sunday polls

There are four voting intention polls this Sunday. Opinium, ORB in the Sunday Telegraph, YouGov in the Sunday Times, ICM in the Sun on Sunday. Topline voting intentions are: YouGov: CON 47%(-1), LAB 28%(-1), LDEM 11%(+1), UKIP 6%(+1) (tabs) ORB: CON 46%(+4), LAB 31%(nc)

By Anthony Wells 07 May 2017

Opinium - CON 46, LAB 30, LDEM 9, UKIP 7

The weekly voting intention poll by Opinium has topline figures of CON 46%(-1), LAB 30%(nc), LDEM 9%(+1), UKIP 7%(nc), GRN 2%(-1). Clearly there is no significant change since last week. Fieldwork was conducted on Tuesday and Wednesday, so before the local elections. It's

By Anthony Wells 06 May 2017

YouGov/Times - CON 48, LAB 29, LD 10, UKIP 5

The weekly YouGov poll for the Times this morning has topline figures of CON 48%, LAB 29%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 5%. The decline in the Tory lead in YouGov's polling seems to have abated, though the nineteen point lead is still smaller than the twenty-plus point leads we

By Anthony Wells 04 May 2017

Polling myths

Whenever a poll goes up that shows bad news for someone you get the same sort of comments on social media. As I write this piece in May 2017 comments like these generally come from Jeremy Corbyn supporters, but that's just the political weather at this moment in

By Anthony Wells 03 May 2017

Panelbase - CON 47, LAB 30, LD 10, UKIP 5

The weekly Panelbase GB poll has topline figures of CON 47%(-2), LAB 30%(+3), LDEM 10%(nc), UKIP 5%(nc), GRN 2%(-1). Changes are from a week ago. The Conservative lead is down five points from last week, but remains at a healthy seventeen points. Polls do all

By Anthony Wells 03 May 2017
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