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Kantar and Survation voting intention polls

There have been two new voting intention polls today. A new Kantar poll has topline figures of CON 44%(-4), LAB 28%(+4), LDEM 11%(nc), UKIP 8%(+1). The Tory lead has narrowed significantly since their previous poll a week ago, but this is likely to something of a

By Anthony Wells 09 May 2017

ICM voting intentions and YouGov Welsh poll

ICM's weekly poll for the Guardian has topline figures of CON 49%, LAB 27%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 6%, GRN 3%. This is the first poll we've seen since the local government elections, and has the Tories back up to a lead of 22 points (indeed, according

By Anthony Wells 08 May 2017

Sunday polls

There are four voting intention polls this Sunday. Opinium, ORB in the Sunday Telegraph, YouGov in the Sunday Times, ICM in the Sun on Sunday. Topline voting intentions are: YouGov: CON 47%(-1), LAB 28%(-1), LDEM 11%(+1), UKIP 6%(+1) (tabs) ORB: CON 46%(+4), LAB 31%(nc)

By Anthony Wells 07 May 2017

Opinium - CON 46, LAB 30, LDEM 9, UKIP 7

The weekly voting intention poll by Opinium has topline figures of CON 46%(-1), LAB 30%(nc), LDEM 9%(+1), UKIP 7%(nc), GRN 2%(-1). Clearly there is no significant change since last week. Fieldwork was conducted on Tuesday and Wednesday, so before the local elections. It's

By Anthony Wells 06 May 2017

YouGov/Times - CON 48, LAB 29, LD 10, UKIP 5

The weekly YouGov poll for the Times this morning has topline figures of CON 48%, LAB 29%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 5%. The decline in the Tory lead in YouGov's polling seems to have abated, though the nineteen point lead is still smaller than the twenty-plus point leads we

By Anthony Wells 04 May 2017

Polling myths

Whenever a poll goes up that shows bad news for someone you get the same sort of comments on social media. As I write this piece in May 2017 comments like these generally come from Jeremy Corbyn supporters, but that's just the political weather at this moment in

By Anthony Wells 03 May 2017

Panelbase - CON 47, LAB 30, LD 10, UKIP 5

The weekly Panelbase GB poll has topline figures of CON 47%(-2), LAB 30%(+3), LDEM 10%(nc), UKIP 5%(nc), GRN 2%(-1). Changes are from a week ago. The Conservative lead is down five points from last week, but remains at a healthy seventeen points. Polls do all

By Anthony Wells 03 May 2017

ICM/Guardian - CON 47, LAB 28, LD 8 UKIP 8

ICM's weekly poll for the Guardian today has topline figures of CON 47%(nc), LAB 28%(nc), LDEM 8%(-1), UKIP 8%(nc). Changes are from the ICM poll for the Sun on Sunday, and clearly don't show any meaningful change at all. The sharp narrowing

By Anthony Wells 02 May 2017

ICM/Sun on Sunday - CON 47, LAB 28, LDEM 9, UKIP 8

There is also a new ICM poll for the Sun on Sunday. Topline figures there are CON 47%(-1), LAB 28%(+1), LDEM 9%(-1), UKIP 8%(+1), GRN 4%(+1), conducted "at the end of the week". Changes are from the ICM poll at the start of

By Anthony Wells 30 Apr 2017

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 44, LAB 31, LD 11, UKIP 6

YouGov's weekly poll for the Sunday Times has topline figures of CON 44%, LAB 31%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 6%, GRN 2%, down to a thirteen point Conservative lead compared to sixteen points in the week (and twenty-point-plus leads when the election was first called). It suggests that the

By Anthony Wells 30 Apr 2017

Opinium and ORB voting intention polls

Opinium's latest poll has topline figures of CON 47%(+2), LAB 30%(+4), LDEM 8%(-3), UKIP 7%(-2) (tables here). The changes are from last weekend, though should be taken with a slight caveat - Opinium have added recalled 2015 vote to their weighting scheme. That changes

By Anthony Wells 29 Apr 2017

YouGov/Times Scottish poll

I don't think we've had any GB polls today (not doubt there will be the usual flurry for the Sunday papers tomorrow), but we did get a YouGov Scottish poll for the Times, their first of the campaign. Topline voting intentions were SNP 41%, CON 28%

By Anthony Wells 28 Apr 2017
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