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Public opinion on Brexit

The Mail on Sunday today had a new Survation poll on Brexit, YouGov had a longer Brexit poll in the week. After a general election that was supposed to be a "Brexit election" but didn't really contain much debate about Brexit, the agenda is now moving

By Anthony Wells 18 Jun 2017

New swingometers

A brief note - I've updated the two graphical swingometers on the site so they are based on the 2017 election results. The basic version is here, and the fancy version that lets you put in separate Welsh and Scottish figures is here (the old version without the

By Anthony Wells 14 Jun 2017

Post-election thoughts

I've only had a couple of hours sleep so this is a very short comment on lessons from the polls at the election. The two best performing traditional polls seem to be those from Survation and Surveymonkey. Survation had a one point Con lead in their final GB

By Anthony Wells 09 Jun 2017

Final poll - Ipsos MORI/Standard - CON 44%, LAB 36%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 4%

As usual, the final poll of the campaign (unless ICM do release updated figures) is from Ipsos MORI, who traditionally keep on polling on Wednesday evening and publish their final call in Thursday's Evening Standard. Topline figures are CON 44%(-1), LAB 36%(-4), LDEM 7%(nc), UKIP

By Anthony Wells 08 Jun 2017

Final eve-of-election polls

So, here goes - the eve of the election means we get the final call polls. We already got Opinium's final poll yesterday and Ipsos MORI won't be till tomorrow, but everyone else should be reporting today. ICM have tended to show the strongest leads for

By Anthony Wells 07 Jun 2017

Opinium's final poll: CON 43%, LAB 36%, LD 8%, UKIP 5%

Opinium have put out their final poll of the election campaign. Their final figures are CON 43%(nc), LAB 36%(-1), LDEM 8%(+2), UKIP 5%(nc). Fieldwork was between Sunday and today, so it is also the first poll we've seen with fieldwork conducted after the terrorist

By Anthony Wells 06 Jun 2017

ICM/Guardian - CON 45%, LAB 34%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 5%

There is only one GB poll so far today - ICM's weekly poll for the Guardian, their penultimate of the campaign. Voting intentions are almost identical to their poll for the Sun on Sunday yesterday, with topline figures of CON 45%(nc), LAB 34%(nc), LDEM 8%(-1)

By Anthony Wells 05 Jun 2017

Saturday night polls

On the final Saturday night of the campaign I expect we'll see plenty of polls. We already have figures from Opinium and ComRes. I know were are definitely due a new YouGov poll for the Sunday Times, ICM for the Sun on Sunday and Survation (presumably for the

By Anthony Wells 03 Jun 2017

Ipsos MORI/Standard - CON 45, LAB 40, LDEM 7

Ipsos MORI's penultimate election poll has topline figures of CON 45%(-4), LAB 40%(+6), LDEM 7%(nc). Changes are from their previous poll in mid-May, hence the drop in the Tory lead here is probably largely just reflecting the post-manifesto drop that we've seen in

By Anthony Wells 02 Jun 2017

Latest Panelbase poll and YouGov polls for Britain, London and Wales

We have two new GB polls today, plus YouGov polls for London & Wales. Firstly, the weekly YouGov poll for the Times has topline figures of CON 42%(-1), LAB 39%(+3), LDEM 7%(-2), UKIP 4%(nc). Fieldwork was Tuesday and Wednesday and changes are from the YouGov/

By Anthony Wells 01 Jun 2017

New Kantar, Panelbase, MORI and Surveymonkey polls

A variety of new and newish polls today. Starting with the newest of the regular polls, Kantar's latest topline figures are CON 43%(+1), LAB 33%(-1), LDEM 11%(+2), UKIP 4%(nc). Fieldwork was between Thursday and Tuesday. The changes are not significant in themselves, but unlike

By Anthony Wells 31 May 2017

Latest ICM and Survation polls

Two new polls today: Survation for Good Morning Britain this morning had topline figures of CON 43%(nc), LAB 37%(+3), LDEM 9%(nc), UKIP 4%(nc). Fieldwork was on Friday and Saturday and changes are from the previous week. Tabs are here. ICM for the Guardian had topline figures

By Anthony Wells 30 May 2017
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