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Is this the start of a Tory turnaround?

I haven't paid much attention to the voting intention polls over recent months since without a Leader of the Opposition party politics are in a bit of a limbo. When people say how they would vote in a general election tomorrow, are they imagining a an election with

By Anthony Wells 25 Nov 2005

Support for ID cards on the wane again

Prior to the July 7th bombings support for ID cards had appeared to be in serious decline. Back in 2003 YouGov had found a net approval rating of +63 for the introduction of ID cards, with support of 78%. By the week prior to the London bombing net approval had

By Anthony Wells 22 Nov 2005

Retiring at 67

The report of the Turner commission is expected to recommend that the state pensionable age be increased to 67 to pay for a higher state pension. This meets with very lukewarm support from the public in a new ICM poll in Tuesday's Guardian - only 36% support increasing

By Anthony Wells 22 Nov 2005

Armed Police and the Death Penalty

Following the tragic murder of Pc Sharon Beshenivsky at the weekend, the media has been in flurry over whether policemen should be routinely armed (despite the fact that practically no one seems to be calling for this) and, following a newspaper article by Lord Stevens, whether the death penalty should

By Anthony Wells 21 Nov 2005

2006 Israeli Elections

2006 Knesset Election Results in projected number of Knesset seats. Abbreviations: Lik - Likud Kad - Kadima Lab - Labor-Meimad Shi - Shinui -the Secular Movement Shas - International Organization of Torah-observant Sephardic Jews MY - Meretz-Yahad and the Democratic Choice NU - Ichud Leumi (National Union) IOH - Israel

By Anthony Wells 21 Nov 2005

Is support for the hunting ban falling?

The start of what was the hunting season was greeted by a new opinion poll from ORB, commissed by the Countryside Alliance, which they claimed showed that support for a ban had dramatically fallen over the last 6 years, and now had only minority support. It was immediately rebutted by

By Anthony Wells 16 Nov 2005

How not to analyse an opinion poll

Last week there was some fuss over the Times' decision to make their frontpage headline a story about a Populus poll that put David Davis ahead of David Cameron amongst Conservative voters. The actual number of Tory voters asked the question in the poll was only 122, meaning that

By Anthony Wells 14 Nov 2005

Did the Commons defeat damage Blair?

Last week Tony Blair suffered his first Commons defeat as Prime Minister over the provision in the Terrorism Bill to detain suspects for up to 90 days. How much damage has it done to Tony Blair? Is his authority irredeemably damaged, has he any chance of getting through his reforms

By Anthony Wells 14 Nov 2005

Cameron ahead in Conservative ballot

Populus's poll earlier this week caused some excitement when it suggested that David Davis might have pulled ahead of David Cameron amongst Conservative voters after Davis's focus on policies like the return of grammar schools and promises of tax cuts. The only people who really count

By Anthony Wells 11 Nov 2005

Good and bad news for David Davis

There is a fascinating - if not bizarre - Populus poll in today's Times. David Davis has moved ahead of David Cameron amongst Conservative supporters, despite the fact that the same supporters think that Cameron would stand a better chance of winning, would lead a more united party

By Anthony Wells 09 Nov 2005

How long should Tony Blair stay for?

It's been a difficult week for Tony Blair, but a couple of recent polls shows that rumours of his dimise may be premature. An ICM poll for Monday's Newsnight showed that 28% of people think that he should resign now, but a quarter of people think

By Anthony Wells 08 Nov 2005

Anti-Terrorism Laws

Last week the government faced problems not just as a result of David Blunkett's resignation, but also through opposition to their anti-terrorist legislation, specifically plans to increase the length of time the police can hold terrorist suspects without charge to 90-days. Last Wednesday the government's majority

By Anthony Wells 07 Nov 2005
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