The government have, needless to say, not had a particularly good few weeks. They have lost two cabinet minsters and have several more under clouds who the media have portrayed the Prime Minister as too weak to sack. You'd probably expect the government to be tanking in the
Let us start with the rhetoric. In January Theresa May said that "no deal is better than a bad deal". When polls ask about that sentiment people generally agree with it. When Theresa May first made the statement, YouGov found 48% of people agreed that "no deal
ICM's fortnightly poll for the Guardian has topline figures of CON 42%(+1), LAB 42%(+1), LDEM 7%(nc). As with other recent polls there is no sign of any obvious movement. The national polling position appears to be largely stable, the government may be struggling with Brexit,
Earlier in the week the Boundary Commissions of England, Scotland and Wales (but not Northern Ireland) published their revised recommendations for the boundary review. This is the next stage of the review that started before the last election - the rules are that the Boundary Commissions need to report every
At midnight on Monday the Boundary Commissions release revised recommendations for the boundary review. A few notes to aid in understanding what it means. Firstly, and probably most importantly, they are still pretty unlikely to happen. The Boundary Commissions are obliged by law to continue with the review, it doesn&
Just catching up on YouGov's latest poll for the Times yesterday. Topline voting intention figures were CON 39%(-1), LAB 42%(nc), LDEM 8%(+1), so didn't show any meaningful change. The two findings that got rather more attention were on best PM and Brexit. On
The ICM/Guardian poll today has topline figures of CON 41%(+1), LAB 41%(-1), LDEM 7%(-1). Fieldwork was Friday-Sunday, and changes are from ICM's poll before the Labour conference. As with the polls at the weekend, there's no significant change here. Theresa May'
So far we've had three polls conducted since the end of conference speech - YouGov in Friday's Times, Opinium in today's Observer and ICM in the Sun on Sunday. The first two included voting intention figures. The YouGov/Times poll was conducted on Wednesday
After becoming Conservative leader in 1997 William Hague oversaw a review of the party's leadership rules. As everyone interested in politics knows the main part of this was to give ordinary party members a vote - Conservative MPs would still get to whittle down the field of candidates
Yesterday's Observer had a new YouGov poll of London, commissioned by Queen Mary University London. Full tables for the poll are here. Labour performed very strongly in London at the general election this year. There was six point swing to Labour compared to a two pooint swing in
This morning's Times has a new YouGov poll of Conservative party members, asking mainly about Brexit and the party leadership. Party members are a generally loyal bunch, so as you'd expect all the main players are seen as doing well, though Michael Fallon and David Davis
There was a YouGov poll yesterday with some post-Florence EU questions, suggesting a pretty poor reception for Theresa May's speech. The proportion thinking that the government are doing well at negotiating Brexit has fallen from 24% to 21% since last month, its lowest since January. 61% now think
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