As promised many months ago, I have produced an updated estimate of the effect the new constituency boundary changes will have on the political make up of the country. As most readers will know, every 12 to 14 years the counstituency boundaries on which MPs are elected are updated to
Following the Labour party conference last week the Labour party received a significant boost in its ratings, with two polls showing them neck and neck with the Tories. An ICM poll following the Conservative party conference shows the Conservative lead bouncing back up again. The topline figures with changes from
We are still waiting for a voting intention poll since the Tory conference, but Populus did carry out one of their regular mini-polls for the BBC's Daily Politics show on Friday. The poll found that 74% of people said that environmental issues were important to them and will
As promised I've looked at the rest of the YouGov poll which was published in this morning's Telegraph. The measures released on Saturday showed little evidence of progress in the way the Conservatives were viewed - that the proportion of people thinking that the Conservatives had
There are a grab-bag of little polls in the last few days while I've been away, so here's a brief round up. A new ICM poll for the Sunday Mirror has headline voting intentions (with changes from ICM's last poll) of CON 36% (nc)
A YouGov poll for Saturday's Telegraph has the two main parties neck and neck on 36%. The full topline figures, with changes from YouGov's last poll are CON 36%(-1), LAB 36%(+3), LDEM 16%(-2). While it is but a single poll, if other polls
Below is the updated graph of the net impression figures for senior Labour party politicians from YouGov's BrandIndex tracker, now including the effect of the Labour party conference. Click on the graph to see a larger version of it. The figures are all based on a five day
Via Danny Finkelstein's blog, there is an open access version of Populus's message meter poll on Tony Blair's conference speech (i.e. where one turns a dial, or in this case a slider, up or down in response to how positive or negative you
A new YouGov poll in today's Telegraph is a prime example of the difference sample error can make - the topline figures are CON 38%, LAB 31%, LDEM 18%. The poll was begun before the YouGov poll in the Sunday Times, but there was a substantial overlap in
The Sunday Times carries a new YouGov poll. Voting intention, with changes from YouGov's last poll, is CON 37% (-1), LAB 33% (+2), LDEM 18% (nc). The changes are well within the range of normal sample error, but like the recent ICM polls show the the Conservative lead
1. Finchley and Golders Green 31 Swing required: 0.05 % 2. Crawley 37 Swing required: 0.05 % 3. Croydon Central 317 Swing required: 0.35 % 4. Battersea 336 Swing required: 0.4 % 5. Aberconwy 243 Swing required: 0.4 % 6. Harlow 357 Swing required: 0.45 % 7. Milton Keynes South
holding
Sign up to receive occasional updates from UK Polling Report.