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Contrasting Scottish polls

The SNP have today released the voting intention figures from a new YouGov poll that shows the SNP ahead in both votes. The topline figures for the constituency vote, with changes from the YouGov poll the SNP commissioned back in April are CON 14% (nc), LAB 29%(-1), LDEM 16%

By Anthony Wells 23 Nov 2006

ICM November Poll

The headline voting intention figures for ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian, with changes from last month's poll, are CON 37% (-2), LAB 32% (+3), LDEM 22% (nc). Last month's ICM poll showed a huge 10 point Conservative lead, with a Labour score that

By Anthony Wells 22 Nov 2006

Latest Scottish Voting Intentions

Over the weekend figures from a new TNS/System 3 poll of voting intentions in the Scottish Parliament were released. The Sunday Herald's report rather strangely describes it as being "leaked", but perhaps that's just to make it more exciting :). In fact it was

By Anthony Wells 20 Nov 2006
The voting intention gender gap

The voting intention gender gap

The Times's report of this month's Populus poll highlighted what appeared to be a striking 7 point difference in the Conservative lead between how men would vote and how women would vote, a gap that grew to 12 points when Populus asked how people would vote

By Anthony Wells 15 Nov 2006

Too much too young

Populus' poll for the Times last week included a series of questions on what age limits should apply for things like smoking, drinking and getting married and revealed a broad consensus in favour of higher age limits. As one might expect, there is a difference between responses from different

By Anthony Wells 14 Nov 2006

42% think faith is as evil as smallpox

I always urge some degree of caution on polls commissioned by pressure groups - not because any of the pollsters would willingly ask skewed questions, but because if pressure groups didn't think they were going to get the answers they wanted they wouldn't pay for or

By Anthony Wells 09 Nov 2006

November Populus Poll

Populus's November poll gives the Conservatives a three point lead. The full topline figures, with changes from last month, are CON 36% (nc), LAB 33% (-2), LDEM 20% (+2). Populus polls generally report lower Conservative leads than the other main pollsters, but the trend reflects that in YouGov

By Anthony Wells 06 Nov 2006

YouGov on the environment

The latest Populus figures are coming up in the moment, but first here are the details of YouGov's poll on the environment from Saturday's Telegraph on global warming and climate change. The overwhelming majority of people now believe that global warming is taking place - 85%

By Anthony Wells 06 Nov 2006

Bush more dangerous than Kim Jong-il?

The Guardian carries an ICM poll this morning suggesting that 87% of people think Osama bin Laden is a great or moderate danger to peace, compared to 75% for George W Bush, 69% for Kim Jong-il, 65% for Hassan Nasrallah and 62% for Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. Other than the fact that

By Anthony Wells 03 Nov 2006

51% of Scots favour independence

In the run up to next year's elections to the Scottish Parliament the Scotsman newspaper has begun commissioning regular monthly polls from ICM. These will be the first regular Scottish polls since the System Three polls for the Herald petered out in 2003. 51% of respondents told ICM

By Anthony Wells 01 Nov 2006

Tracking the US Mid Term Elections

There are bucketloads of American websites that collate opinion polls, comment on the latest figures and try to predict election results. Rather than try to do any analysis myself, here is a round up of the some of the best links for those of you interested in following the US

By Anthony Wells 31 Oct 2006

YouGov give the Conservatives a 7 point lead

There is somewhat less confusion about the actual state of the parties with YouGov's monthly poll, which tallies with the sort of lead produced by ICM and Communicate during the past week. The topline figures with changes from YouGov's last poll are CON 39% (+3), LAB

By Anthony Wells 26 Oct 2006
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