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Blair's resignation boosts Labour

The Sunday Times has the first poll of voting intentions since the announcement of Tony Blair's resignation. The YouGov poll has headline voting intentions, with changes from their last poll, of CON 38%(+1), LAB 34%(+2), LDEM 15%(-3). The poll was carried out between the 10th

By Anthony Wells 12 May 2007

Tony Blair's legacy

Yesterday I got a strange phone call from a journalist who'd heard there was a poll out showing Blair in a positive light - presumably she meant the ICM poll in today's Guardian. Despite the rock bottom current approval ratings of Tony Blair, when asked to

By Anthony Wells 10 May 2007

Post election polling round up

With the results from the Scottish election in, how did the pollsters do? All the pollsters underestimated the level of Conservative support in the constituency section (and all by the same amount), Populus's Labour support was too low and YouGov's SNP support too high, leaving ICM

By Anthony Wells 06 May 2007

The local elections

I remember that a year ago my referral logs in the days running up to the local elections were full of people searching for local election opinion polls. They must have come away disappointed, because there were practically none. It looks as though they'll be similarly disappointed this

By Anthony Wells 29 Apr 2007

YouGov polls of Scotland and Labour Members

A new YouGov poll in Scotland carried out for the ESRC between the 17th and 23rd April has voting intentions in the constituency vote of CON 15%, LAB 30%, LDEM 12%, SNP 38%. In the regional vote support stands at CON 14%, LAB 27%, LDEM 12%, SNP 32% (and, presumably,

By Anthony Wells 29 Apr 2007

YouGov April Poll

As well as the Scottish poll today also saw the publication of YouGov's monthly GB poll. The topline figures with changes from their last poll are CON 37%(-2), LAB 32%(+1), LDEM 18%(+1). The changes in this poll alone are insignificant, but the drop in Conservative

By Anthony Wells 27 Apr 2007

New Welsh polls

This week there have been two new polls for the Welsh Assembly elections. The first was by Beaufort Research for the Western Mail and conducted between April 16th-23rd. We don't know much about how Beaufort's polls are weighted or adjusted other than that the poll is

By Anthony Wells 27 Apr 2007

YouGov Scotland and prompting by party name

Two new YouGov polls today, one covering Scotland, the other their monthly GB poll for the Telegprah. The Scottish voting intention poll, with changes from their last Scottish poll, has constituency figures of CON 13%(-1), LAB 30%(nc), LDEM 15%(nc), SNP 39%(+2). Regional support stands at CON

By Anthony Wells 27 Apr 2007

ICM April Poll

ICM's April poll suggests a narrowing of the Tory lead. The headline figures with changes from ICM's last poll are CON 37%(-4), LAB 30%(-1), LDEM 21%(+3). The Labour and Lib Dem figures are pretty much par for the course from ICM polls, and

By Anthony Wells 24 Apr 2007

Communicate show Labour down to 27%

Communicate Research's monthly poll for the Independent shows Labour at their lowest level for decades - the last polls I can find with Labour this low are from September 1983. The headline voting intention figures, with changes from last month are CON 36%(+1), LAB 27%(-4), LDEM

By Anthony Wells 24 Apr 2007

Latest Scottish polls

Friday and today have seen new voting intention polls for the Scottish Parliamentary elections from Populus and YouGov. Support in the constituency vote stands at: Populus: CON 13%, LAB 30%, LDEM 18%, SNP 34% YouGov: CON 14%, LAB 30%, LDEM 15%, SNP 37% And in the regional vote: Populus: CON

By Anthony Wells 22 Apr 2007

Miliband would do almost as well as Brown at a GE?

Populus's monthly poll for the Times as usual includes a hypothetical question asking how people would vote with Gordon Brown as Labour leader. As usual this shows the Conservative lead growing with Brown as Labour leader - to 11 points - though not as much as last month.

By Anthony Wells 18 Apr 2007
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