Waterloo

I'm off to a wedding this afternoon so I'm not around to see the results of the London mayoral election (I'm going to be an even sadder version of those people who have to keep popping out of wedding receptions to check the football

YouGov shows Boris set to win

YouGov's eve-of-poll figures for the London election - the only pollster to produce a true eve-of-poll effort with fieldwork within a few days of actual voting - has topline figures of JOHNSON 43%, LIVINGSTONE 36%, PADDICK 13%. Minor party support is split Green 2%, BNP 2%, UKIP 1%

Crewe and Nantwich

Only one day to go till London and the local elections, but let's have a quick break to discuss Crewe and Nantwich, the by-election for which is to be called on the 22nd May. On paper Crewe and Nantwich is quite a distant target for the Conservatives. On

Will poor registration affect the London race?

The Electoral Commission have released a study by NOP into how many people in London aren't actually registered to vote. NOP found 20% of people in London between 18 and 25 weren't registered and 27% of people between 25 and 34 weren't. In comparison,

One more London poll to go

Despite the report in today's Telegraph, which managed to publish ICM's polls from a couple of week's back as a brand new one, there will not after all be another ICM poll on the mayoral elections. That means YouGov's "morning-of-poll"

ComRes show 14 point Tory lead

ComRes's monthly poll for the Independent has a Conservative lead of 14 points. The full topline figures with changes from last month are CON 40%(+2), LAB 26%(-5), LDEM 20%(+3). The poll was conducted between Apr 25th and 27th. Nothing much new here but a confirmation

So, is Ken or Boris ahead?

There may yet be a final London mayoral election poll from Ipsos MORI and I understand there will be one from YouGov, so we may yet get polls that show closer figures, but on the figures we've got at the moment there is an almost unbridgable gulf between

YouGov - Boris ahead by 11

YouGov's weekly mayoral election poll for the Evening Standard is out - this will the last Monday poll, though there may yet be a final eve-of-poll effort - and with four days to go shows Boris Johnson with a solid lead. The first round voting intention figures are

mruk's final London poll shows Ken ahead

What I assume is mruk's final poll on the mayoral election is published in the Sunday Times tomorrow. The topline voting intention figures, with changes from last week, are JOHNSON 43%(-1), LIVINGSTONE 44%(-1), PADDICK 9%(nc). Once second preferences are re-allocated Ken Livingstone is projected to

Sunday Polls

There are four new polls in the Sunday papers, two national polls, one of marginal seats and one London poll which has a separate thread here. The first is a a MORI poll due in the Observer which leaked out on Friday, shows a 9 point Tory lead, and has

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MORI's monthly poll

After their mayoral figures apparently leaked out the Guardian, MORI have also accidently put up their monthly monitor figures on their website which were supposed to have turned up in the Observer on Sunday. The topline figures, with changes from their last poll, are CON 40%(nc), LAB 31%(-4)