An ICM poll for the Sunday Telegraph has topline voting intention figures, with changes from their last poll, of CON 42%(+1), LAB 26%(-1), LDEM 21%(-1). The changes from the last poll are insignificant in themselves, but the continuing drift towards the Conservatives makes the 16 point lead
There is an ICM poll in tommorrow's Sunday Telegraph. Their Three Line Whip blog tells us that it is going to show a "healthy" Conservative lead, and suggests that Labour's brand is tarnished (we shall see what that means in due course). More later
I was expecting a Populus poll tonight, but normally they drop me an email to say when the figures will be published on their website and - so far - no email, so it's looking doubtful. What has turned up is the monthly poll for ComRes, which has
Mark Blumenthal over at Pollster.com has drawn my attention to this article by David Runciman in the LRB which, amongst other things, complains about quite how "rubbish" polls in the USA are with their 600-700 samples, compared to "1000-2000" samples in the UK. I haven&
YouGov's monthly poll for the Telegraph, the first since the Crewe by-election, is another appalling result for Labour. The topline figures, with changes from YouGov's last poll, are CON 47%(+2), LAB 23%(-2), LDEM 18%(nc). The Conservatives now have a 17 point lead on
Despite the Crewe and Nantwich by-election's impact on the media's view of politics, we are still awaiting the first poll since the by-election. The result of the by-election came too late for a full poll in time for the last week's Sunday papers, and
Everyone will know the result of the Crewe and Nantwich by-election by now, but what about the polls during the campaign, how well did they do? By-election polls have been a rare creature in recent years, but such was the attention paid to this contest that we saw three of
Over on Bloggerheads Tim Ireland dismisses a poll on Abortion quoted during yesterdays Parliamentary debate as "being conducted by the Christian Institute [so] it's on him if the poll turns out to have been conducted on the back of a hymn sheet in a church car park.
Looking at the rest of the questions in the ICM poll, they are unremittingly dire for the Prime Minister. 45% of people who voted Labour in 2005 think the government are not "working in the interests of people like me". 71% of people think they have run out
Tuesday also sees what is probably the last poll on the Crewe and Nantwich by-election, this time from ComRes. This must be the most heavily polled by-election for many, many years (perhaps ever - though the days when by-election polls were the norm are beyond my memory) perhaps reflecting both
ICM have released their first poll since the local elections and it shows not just an increased Tory lead, but as with YouGov the largest Tory lead from the company for many years. The topline voting intention figures, with changes from ICM's last poll, are CON 41%(+2)
There is also a new poll in the Independent on Sunday, this time from ComRes - their first poll since the local election. The top line voting intention, with changes from last month, are CON 43%(+3), LAB 26%(nc), LDEM 19%(-1). This is the largest lead ComRes have
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