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YouGov/Times - CON 42, LAB 39, LDEM 8

YouGov's weekly poll for the Times is out tonight (Times report here). Topline voting intention figures are CON 42%(-2), LAB 39%(+2), LDEM 8%(nc), returning to more run-of-the-mill figures after the unusual seven point outlier last week. Fieldwork was Monday and Tuesday. Just 21% of people

By Anthony Wells 14 Jun 2018

Latest YouGov and Survation voting intentions

A year since the election, we have two new GB voting intention polls (from YouGov and Survation) and a new Scottish poll (also from YouGov) today. Looking at the YouGov/Times GB poll first, voting intentions are CON 44%(+2), LAB 37%(-2), LDEM 8%(-1). The seven point Conservative

By Anthony Wells 08 Jun 2018
Why the polls were wrong in 2017

Why the polls were wrong in 2017

It is year since the 2017 general election. I am sure lots of people will be writing a lot of articles looking back at the election itself and the year since, but I thought I'd write a something about the 2017 polling error, something that has gone largely

By Anthony Wells 07 Jun 2018

Latest ComRes and YouGov voting intention figures

A very quick post on two new voting intention polls this week. There was a new ComRes poll reported in the Daily Mail this morning that included voting intention figures of CON 41%(+1), LAB 41%(+1), LDEM 7%(-2). Fieldwork was Wed-Thurs last week and changes are from the

By Anthony Wells 23 May 2018

Opinium/Observer - CON 43, LAB 39, LDEM 6

The regular poll from Opinium for the Observer came out this weekend. Topline figures are CON 43%(+3), LAB 39%(-1), LDEM 6%(-1). Fieldwork was on Tuesday and Wednesday and changes are since last month. This is the largest Conservative lead Opinium have shown since the election, following the

By Anthony Wells 20 May 2018

Latest ICM, BMG and Survation polls

Three new polls over the last few days. Firstly, the regular ICM poll for the Guardian has topline figures of CON 43%(+1), LAB 40%(+1), LDEM 8%(nc). Fieldwork was over the weekend and changes are since the start of the month. There is no signficiant change from last

By Anthony Wells 15 May 2018

YouGov/Times - CON 43%, LAB 38%, LDEM 9%

YouGov's weekly poll for the Times has topline figures of CON 43%(+1), LAB 38%(nc), LDEM 9%(+2). Fieldwork was Tuesday to Wednesday and changes are from last week. While the changes themselves are insignificant, margin-of-error stuff, it's worth noting that this is the fourth

By Anthony Wells 10 May 2018

Latest YouGov and BMG polls, plus Survation London local polling

There have been three more voting intention polls out today (or more, if you count BMG publishing their back catalogue). The regular YouGov poll for the Times had topline figures of CON 42%(-1), LAB 38%(nc), LDEM 7%(-1). This was conducted on Monday and Tuesday, so is the

By Anthony Wells 02 May 2018

Latest ICM and ComRes voting intention polls

The Guardian released their latest poll from ICM earlier today. Topline voting intention figures were CON 42%(nc), LAB 39%(-2), LDEM 8%(+1). Changes are from early April and fieldwork was Friday to Sunday, so once the Windrush scandal was in full throw but before Amber Rudd's

By Anthony Wells 01 May 2018

Ipsos MORI/Standard - CON 41, LAB 40, LDEM 10

Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor came out today. Topline voting intention figures were CON 41%(-2), LAB 40%(-2), LDEM 10%(+4). Fieldwork was the 20th to 24th April (that is, last weekend, just as the Windrush scandal was getting going) and changes are since last month. The

By Anthony Wells 30 Apr 2018

YouGov/QMUL poll of London

Phil Cowley at Queen Mary University London has released a new YouGov poll ahead of the London local elections next month. Local election voting intentions are CON 29%(+1), LAB 51%(-3), LDEM 11%(nc), changes are from the previous poll in mid-February. If these figures were to be repeated

By Anthony Wells 26 Apr 2018

YouGov/Times - CON 43, LAB 38, LDEM 8

The latest YouGov poll for the Times has topline figures of CON 43%(+3), LAB 38%(-2), LDEM 8%(-1). The five point Conservative lead is the largest YouGov have shown since the general election. The fieldwork was at the start of the week, so it is possible that this

By Anthony Wells 21 Apr 2018
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