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LabourHome poll of party members

The Independent today reports the results of a poll of Labour party members and supporters by Labourhome.org suggesting even a majority of Labour party members would rather Gordon Brown went. Polling party members is hard - they are hard to get hold of, hard to know how to weight

By Anthony Wells 19 Sep 2008

More from MORI's latest poll

The full results of Ipsos MORI's latest poll are now available here. We've all seen the topline figures by now. Approval ratings remain pretty much the same - there has been no further slump in government or Brown's ratings (in fact Brown's

By Anthony Wells 18 Sep 2008

Conservatives break 50%?

No confirmation yet, so take this with a shovel-load of salt, but a rumour has just reached me of a MORI poll tomorrow showing the Conservatives at 52%, Labour at 24% and the Lib Dems at 12%. Seriously, I've no idea of the provenance of this and have

By Anthony Wells 17 Sep 2008

Nice party...for a protest vote

Populus's annual conference poll, in which they include questions they can publish before each of the three conferences, is one of the few times we can guarantee to get some questions asked about the Liberal Democrats. This year is no different. On one front the poll has good

By Anthony Wells 15 Sep 2008

YouGov in the Sunday Times

There is a YouGov poll in the Sunday Times showing topline figures (with changes from YouGov's last poll) of CON 46%(+1), LAB 27%(+1), LDEM 16%(nc). Effectively no change again, giving us a very static summer in the polls. Unless there is more to come from

By Anthony Wells 13 Sep 2008

The 2008 political spectrum

The first results from Populus' grand conference poll are starting to come out in the Times. Every year Populus do a larg poll before the conference season and drip-feed out the results that are relevant to each party in the run up to their conference. Amongst other things, this

By Anthony Wells 11 Sep 2008

YouGov show a 12% swing in key marginals

Channel 4 news has a new YouGov poll of marginal seats. The poll covered Labour held Conservative target seats that require a swing between 3% and 7% to capture, the logic being that those "low hanging fruit" are certain Conservative gains in the present environment, so the battleground

By Anthony Wells 11 Sep 2008

Would you be more or less likely to vote if...

It sounds like a obvious point, but when people answer survey questions, they know what you're up to: coming round here, asking all your questions about voting intention and elections tomorrow, you're just going to add up the figures, weight them and publish them in the

By Anthony Wells 08 Sep 2008

Latest Scottish Voting Intentions

A new YouGov poll in the Sunday Times in Scotland has Westminster voting intentions in Scotland of CON 17%, LAB 32%, LDEM 13%, SNP 34%. The Holyrood voting intention figures are Constituency CON 13%, LAB 26%, LDEM 15%, SNP 42%%, and regional CON 14%, LAB 25%, LDEM 14%, SNP 35%

By Anthony Wells 07 Sep 2008

ComRes compare Labour leaders

A new ComRes poll for the Independent has topline voting intention figures of CON 44%(-2), LAB 25%(nc), LDEM 17%(+1). Full tables are here. ComRes also asked a series of questions on how people would vote with alternate leaders of the Labour party. With Jack Straw or David

By Anthony Wells 06 Sep 2008

Would Labour do WORSE with Miliband?

The Times have published a hypothetical voting intention question from their latest Populus poll asking how people would vote if Gordon Brown was replaced by David Miliband. It gives voting intentions of CON 46%, LAB 26%, LDEM 16% - a Conservative lead of 20 points, compared to 16 in Populus&

By Anthony Wells 05 Sep 2008

No change from Populus

For the last couple of months the polls have tended to be pretty much static. The latest monthly Populus out is quite literally static - no change at all from Populus's last poll with topline figures of CON 43%(nc), LAB 27%(nc), LDEM 18%(nc). Not much

By Anthony Wells 01 Sep 2008
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