A ComRes poll for the BBC's Daily Politics found that 65% of people said they had cut their expenditure because they were worried about the future and that a majority of people - 54% - disagreed that they would spend more if the government cut their taxes. An
A new ICM poll for the Sunday Mirror shows the Conservatives still enjoying a double point lead. The topling figures with changes from last month are CON 42%(-1), LAB 31%(+1), LDEM 19%(+1). I can't find any details of the fieldwork dates yet, but it'
With a poll showing the parties within touching distance, the speculation about an early election have been rife. How likely is it, I really don't know, but let's look at the pros and cons. On the pro side... 1) The economy is likely to get worse.
Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor shows the smallest Conservative lead so far since the figures began narrowing a few months ago. The topline figures, with changes from MORI's last poll are CON 40%(-5), LAB 37%(+7), LDEM 12%(-2). The fieldwork was conducted between Friday
As usual YouGov's poll in the Sunday Times contains a variety of questions. Looking at the economy first perceptions of how Gordon Brown is handling the crisis continue to head in a positive direction. Last month more people actually thought he was handling it badly than positively (37%
Over the last couple of weeks we've seen some apparently contrasting polls - have the Conservative lead dropped to single figures or not? Different polls have told different stories (and sometimes lead to people jumping the gun and thinking the Labour recovery has stalled or reversed). What is
A new ComRes poll in the Sunday Independent has topline figures, with changes from the most recent ComRes poll of CON 43% (+4), LAB 32% (+1) LDEM 12% (-4). I'm please to note than on his blog reporting the figures John Rentoul is drawing a comparison from the
A YouGov poll for the Sunday Times has topline figures, with changes from the previous poll a fortnight ago, of CON 41%(-1), LAB 36%(+3), LDEM 14%(-1). The 5 point Tory lead is the smallest lead since April and the smallest from YouGov since December last year. It
I'm expecting at least two new polls to be published tonight. John Rentoul promises us a new ComRes poll in the Sunday Indy, which also has questions on whether Brown is to blame for unemployment rising, whether the team around Cameron are lightweight, whether tax cuts should be
As you'll have noticed if you are reading this on the site (if you've got it in an RSS feed you'll just have to come here, dammit!) I've overhauled the site design - this should be the design that graces the site
FAQ: Question Wording The wording of polling questions can have a huge impact on the answers - I will write a much longer article on that in the future. For the moment I want to look at the far simpler question of the wording used for voting intention questions. The
FAQ: Dealing with don't knows In 1992 the British polls famously got it wrong. All the polls showed Labour ahead or the parties neck and neck. In fact the Conservatives had a solid lead. In the post-mortem that followed one of the problems that was identified was the
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