A new Populus poll for the Times shows the Conservatives enjoying to a 20 point lead in Westminster voting intentions, and UKIP overtaking Labour and and Liberal Democrats to establish themselves in second place for the European elections. Topline voting intentions for a general election, with changes from Populus poll
. If the Telegraph are sticking to their normal monthly timetable we can expect to find their monthly YouGov poll sometime this evening. I'm out at a meeting, so feel free to use this thread to discuss the figures when they appear. I'll update properly later. UPDATE:
Unless proximity to the election has cancelled out reluctance to poll over a bank holiday weekend we won't be getting any new polls for a day or two. In the meantime I should really update with a Scottish poll that came out over the weekend. The Scottish Opinion
No proper national polls in the papers this weekend (though the Scottish Mail on Sunday does have a Scottish Opinion poll), but there is what proports to be a selection of constituency polls in the Sunday Express. The Sunday Express claim to have constituency polls in Salford, Worcester and Basildon,
ICM have joined the fray of companies polling on the European elections. Their first poll on the 2009 European elections has topline figures of CON 30%, LAB 24%, LDEM 18%, UKIP 10%, Green 9%, SNP & PC 4%, BNP 1%. It was conducted on May the 20th and 21st.
Tonight's Populus poll also apparently shows that only 45% rate their chances of voting in an immediate general election at 10/10. This compares to 51% in Populus's last poll, and 57% in the one before the expenses row began. Populus don't normally include
According to Mike Smithson there is a new Populus poll for ITV news tonight. Topline figures, with changes from their last poll - taken just as the expenses row broke, are CON 39%(nc), LAB 27%(+1), LDEM 17%(-5). Labour and the Conservatives remain down, and largely unchanged. The
After all my ponderings about whether we would see Labour fall to third place behind the Liberal Democrats in the next ICM poll, their actual poll shows nothing of the sort. The full topline figures are CON 39%(-1), LAB 28%(-2), LDEM 20%(+1). Others are at 14%, somewhat
There is a new YouGov poll in this mornings Telegraph. Topline voting intentions are CON 39%(-2), LAB 23%(+1), LDEM 19%(nc). The "others" are made up of 6% for UKIP(nc), BNP 4%(nc), Green 4%(+1), SNP/PC 4%(nc). For Europe voting intentions stand
There is also a new European election voting intention poll by ComRes in the Sunday papers. The poll is commissioned by UKIP. The topline figures are CON 28%, LAB 23%, LDEM 14%, UKIP 15%, GRN 11%, BNP 4%. Labour are doing better than the recent BPIX and YouGov polls, though
European Elections 2014 European Voting Intention Survey End Date CON LAB LDEM UKIP GRN BNP YouGov/Sun/Times 21/05/14 22 26 9 27 10 1 Opinium 21/05/14 21 25 6 32 6 1 Survation/Mirror 20/05/14 23 27 9 32 4 1 YouGov/Sun
Polls from YouGov, BPIX and ComRes have all shown the same sort of impact for the expenses row, so let's step back and look at the bigger picture. In Westminster polls both the main parties seem to have suffered, this means that the Conservative lead has been broadly
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