Sunday Polls

I'm hoping for at least two new voting intention polls tonight. I'm off to a BBQ and might not be back before they appear, so feel free to use this thread to discuss the results.

New ICM/Guardian poll

I was hoping for a new Populus poll today, but instead we have the monthly ICM/Guardian poll. The topline figures with changes from their last poll a month ago are CON 41%(+2), LAB 27%(nc), LDEM 20%(+2). The poll was conducted on the 10th and 11th of

ICM poll on Afghanistan

An ICM poll for tonight's BBC Newsnight shows the public evenly split between support and opposition to Britain's action in Afghanistan, but does suggest that support is continuing to grow. 46% said they supported the British mission in Afghanistan, with 47% opposed. A similar ICM poll

ComRes on honesty and spending cuts

There is a new ComRes poll up for the BBC's daily politics. It has David Cameron being rated as being more open and honest than Gordon Brown on the need to cut spending (39% to 25%), and the Conservatives seen as likely to be better than Labour on

Open thread

Since it went rather well last time, and I haven't had a poll to ramble on about for a day or two, this is an open thread for discussion - normal rules on non-partisanship do not apply.

About those "others"

A lot of interpretation of the polls now is rather skewed by the 20% or so that is still going to others. For example, the Conservative share is still seen in the light of whether they need to be over 40%, and we gasp at Labour being down in the

Latest Scottish Voting Intention

My broadband at home has decided to go down, so apologies if I've been something of an absentee landlord for a couple of days. Normal service should be resumed at the weekend. In the meantime, here are some voting intentions for the Scottish Partliament from TNS-BMRB (what used

Tory lead down to 11 with ComRes

There is a new ComRes poll in tomorrow's Independent, with topline figures of CON 36%(-3), LAB 25%(+3), LDEM 19%(+1). Others are collectively on 20%. The topline figures would appear to show a swing back towards Labour - the 11 point lead is still enough for

New YouGov/People poll

There is a new YouGov poll in today's People newspaper. Topline figures, with changes from YouGov's last poll, are CON 40%(+2), LAB 24%(-1), LDEM 17%(-1). As with YouGov's Friday poll, the changes are all within the margin of error and given

First Norwich North poll

Norwich's University & College Union have commissioned an ICM poll for the forthcoming by-election in Nowich North. The topline voting intention figures for the by-election are (with changes from the general election shares of the vote) CON 34%(+1), LAB 30%(-15), LDEM 15%(-1), Green 14%

New YouGov poll

YouGov's monthly poll for the Telegraph has been published. The topline figures, with changes from YouGov's most recent poll, are CON 38%(-2), LAB 25%(+1), LDEM 18%(nc). There is a slight fall in Conservative support, but the changes are well within the margin of

Economic Optimism #2

As promised, it's time to take a wider look at economic optimism again. The graph above shows four regular monthly trackers of economic optimism. GfK NOP and Ipsos MORI both ask people each month if they think the economy will get better or worse over the next 12