Open thread

Since it went rather well last time, and I haven't had a poll to ramble on about for a day or two, this is an open thread for discussion - normal rules on non-partisanship do not apply.

About those "others"

A lot of interpretation of the polls now is rather skewed by the 20% or so that is still going to others. For example, the Conservative share is still seen in the light of whether they need to be over 40%, and we gasp at Labour being down in the

Latest Scottish Voting Intention

My broadband at home has decided to go down, so apologies if I've been something of an absentee landlord for a couple of days. Normal service should be resumed at the weekend. In the meantime, here are some voting intentions for the Scottish Partliament from TNS-BMRB (what used

Tory lead down to 11 with ComRes

There is a new ComRes poll in tomorrow's Independent, with topline figures of CON 36%(-3), LAB 25%(+3), LDEM 19%(+1). Others are collectively on 20%. The topline figures would appear to show a swing back towards Labour - the 11 point lead is still enough for

New YouGov/People poll

There is a new YouGov poll in today's People newspaper. Topline figures, with changes from YouGov's last poll, are CON 40%(+2), LAB 24%(-1), LDEM 17%(-1). As with YouGov's Friday poll, the changes are all within the margin of error and given

First Norwich North poll

Norwich's University & College Union have commissioned an ICM poll for the forthcoming by-election in Nowich North. The topline voting intention figures for the by-election are (with changes from the general election shares of the vote) CON 34%(+1), LAB 30%(-15), LDEM 15%(-1), Green 14%

New YouGov poll

YouGov's monthly poll for the Telegraph has been published. The topline figures, with changes from YouGov's most recent poll, are CON 38%(-2), LAB 25%(+1), LDEM 18%(nc). There is a slight fall in Conservative support, but the changes are well within the margin of

Economic Optimism #2

As promised, it's time to take a wider look at economic optimism again. The graph above shows four regular monthly trackers of economic optimism. GfK NOP and Ipsos MORI both ask people each month if they think the economy will get better or worse over the next 12

MORI show economic optimism returning

On top of the new Harris this morning, there is also a new MORI poll CON 38%(-1), LAB 21%(-4), LDEM 19%(nc). Changes are from the MORI poll for Unison a week ago. Others remain at 22%, and as usual the largest chunk is going to UKIP on

Harris return to voting intention polling...with 29% for Others

This morning's Metro holds a surprise - there is a voting intention poll from Harris. Once a regular pollster in the UK, Harris dropped out of political polling and became an online company. They produced one poll prior to the last general election (which compared very well indeed

New ComRes poll

ComRes have a new poll in tomorrow's Independent on Sunday. The topline figures, with changes from their last poll a fortnight ago, are CON 39%(+1), LAB 22%(nc), LDEM 18%(-2). Comparatively little change here, and the "other" vote would appear to still be up,

New MORI Poll

Ipsos Mori have released a new poll conducted on behalf of Unison. Like ICM's poll last night, it's something of a return to normality after the extremes of last month. The topline figures, with changes from MORI's last poll, are CON 39% (-1), LAB