Did MORI's poll show a low turnout would produce a hung Parliament?

Here's a number 138 for John Rentoul's list of "questions to which the answer is no". The Observer's report of Ipsos MORI's monthly poll contained this rather interesting nugget: "if turnout were to hit an unusual high of 78%

YouGov's monthly Telegraph poll

The voting intention figures for YouGov's monthly poll for the Telegraph have finally surfaced. The topline figures, with changes from YouGov's previous poll in mid-August, are CON 42%(nc), LAB 26%(-2), LDEM 18%(nc). Once again, not much change in the figures. It puts the

Sunday polls

At least two new polls in the Sunday papers. Firstly, the Observer has Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor which has topline figures (with changes from MORI's last poll in mid-July) of CON 43%(+3), LAB 26%(+2), LDEM 17%(-1). The Conservative lead remains pretty steady,

And so do Ipsos MORI!

Scottish polls by YouGov and ICM are now joined by Ipsos MORI, who have carried out a poll of 534 people in Scotland on behalf of Reuters. Again, we have a slightly different result, but with the balance of Scottish opinion still opposed to the decision. 47% of the Scots

ICM too show Scots disagreeing with Megrahi release

And another - ICM have also carried out a poll on al-Megrahi, a specific Scottish poll, this time for the BBC. 32% of Scots told ICM they thought the decision was right, with 60% saying it was wrong. This is slightly less supportive than in the YouGov poll, but still

Snap Populus poll on al-Megrahi

Today's Times has a snap poll of 500 people conducted on Wednesday by Populus (meaning the sample was too small to include voting intention questions). 27% of people agreed with the decision to send al-Megrahi back to Libya on compassionate grounds, with 61% disagreeing. We can't

YouGov poll on al-Megrahi

We finally have a Scottish poll on the Megrahi release. The Mail is reporting a new YouGov poll, which shows 43% of Scots thought that releasing Abdelbasset al-Megrahi was the right decision, with 51% saying it was wrong. Voting intention questions were asked, but so far I can only find

MORI show unemployment rising up the agenda

We should be getting Ipsos MORI's monthly voting intention survey soon, but in the meantime we do have their monthly issues tracker (they are done seperately these days - when MORI shifted to phone polling for their voting intention their unprompted most important issue tracker remained face-to-face). The

Angus Reid poll on al-Megrahi

Canadian pollsters AngusReid have conducted a UK poll (on what appears to be a nascent UK panel) on Abdelbaset al-Megrahi's release. The poll was conducted between the 20th and 23rd of August, so presumably almost all after the announcement that he was to be released. Given the choice

ICM monthly poll

ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian has been released. The topline voting intention figures, with changes from their last poll a week and a half ago, are CON 41%(-2), LAB 25%(-1), LDEM 19%(nc). The Conservatives are down slightly from the 43% they enjoyed in the

Sunday Polls

I was up in Scotland at a wedding this weekend, so wasn't around to herald the arrival of ComRes's latest poll for the Independent on Sunday last night (I had set a Sunday poll discussion thread to automatically appear for you all... but it didn'

Sunday Polls

I'm expecting at least one new poll in the Sunday papers... but I'm at a friends wedding, so won't be back to write about it till tomorrow. Feel free to use this thread to discuss any and all polls that pop up in tomorrow&