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Latest YouGov and Ipsos MORI voting intention polls

There are two new voting intention polls out today - YouGov for the Times, and Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor in the Evening Standard. Ipsos MORI's topline figures are CON 38%(nc), LAB 38%(nc), LDEM 10%(+1), UKIP 4%(nc). Fieldwork was between Friday and

By Anthony Wells 07 Feb 2019

Opinium/Observer - CON 41, LAB 34, LDEM 8

Opinium's fortnightly poll in the Observer today has topline voting intention figures of CON 41%(+4), LAB 34%(-6), LDEM 8%(+1), UKIP 7%(nc). Fieldwork was between Wednesday and Friday, and changes are from Opinium's previous poll in mid-January, conducted straight after May lost her

By Anthony Wells 03 Feb 2019

Latest voting intention and the mystery of house effects

There have been several new polls with voting intention figures since the weekend, though all so far have been conducted before the government's defeat on their Brexit plan. ComRes/Express (14th-15th) - CON 37%(nc), LAB 39%(nc), LDEM 8%(-1), UKIP 7%(+1) YouGov/Times (13th-14th)-

By Anthony Wells 19 Jan 2019

Leaked Populus poll on how opposing Brexit would impact Labour support

The Guardian today has the results of a Populus poll for Best for Britain, apparently leaked without their permission. It found "almost a third" of respondents who would less likely to vote Labour if the party was committed to stopping Brexit, compared to 25% who said it would

By Anthony Wells 19 Jan 2019

Latest BMG and Survation voting intentions

The weekend papers have the first two polls with fieldwork conducted after the New Year - BMG in the Independent and Survation for yesterday's Mail. Voting intention in the two polls is: Survation: CON 38%(-1), LAB 41%(+1), LDEM 10%(+2), UKIP 4%(nc) BMG: CON 36%

By Anthony Wells 13 Jan 2019

Where public opinion stands

A brief update on the state of the polls as we head towards Christmas. First let look at voting intention. The six voting intention polls we've seen published so far in December have all shown the two main parties essentially neck and neck - two have shown tiny

By Anthony Wells 16 Dec 2018

Does Survation show the public warming towards the Brexit deal?

A brief note about the Survation poll in today's Mail. A lot of responses to this have really got the wrong end of the stick - the Daily Mail have, quite obviously, written it up with a very pro-deal slant and have not focused upon elements of the

By Anthony Wells 28 Nov 2018

First post-deal voting intention polls from Opinium and ComRes

The Sunday papers have the first two voting intention polls conducted since the draft Brexit deal was unveiled: Opinium in the Observer have topline figures of CON 36%(-5), LAB 39%(+2), LDEM 7%(-1), UKIP 8%(+2). Fieldwork was Wednesday to Thursday and changes are from a month ago

By Anthony Wells 18 Nov 2018

Polling on the draft Brexit deal

There have been a flurry of polls following the announcement of the draft Brexit deal - all have tended to show a negative reaction. The most thorough were full length polls from YouGov for the Times and Survation for the Mail. YouGov's full length poll found that, based

By Anthony Wells 17 Nov 2018

YouGov post-budget poll

Just to catch up on the post-budget YouGov polling from yesterday's Times, carried out on Monday evening and Tuesday morning. At the simplest level, the budget appears to have polled well. All the measures within met with approval and overall people thought it was a fair budget (44%

By Anthony Wells 01 Nov 2018

Ipsos-MORI/Standard - CON 39, LAB 37, LDEM 10

Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor poll for the Standard was published yesterday. Topline voting intentions were CON 39%, LAB 37%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 5%. The two point lead is unchanged from MORI's previous poll in September, and are very much in line with the other recent

By Anthony Wells 25 Oct 2018

Opinium/Observer - CON 41, LAB 37, LDEM 8

Opinium have a new poll in the Observer today (I think it's the only poll in the Sunday papers, at least, it seems to be the only voting intention poll). Headline voting intentions are CON 41%, LAB 37%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 6%. Fieldwork was Thursday and Friday and

By Anthony Wells 14 Oct 2018
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