A third new poll today, this one from YouGov in the Daily Telegraph. YouGov show a further narrowing of the Conservative lead, with topline figures of CON 38%(-2), LAB 31%(nc), LDEM 19%(+1). Unlike MORI's poll the changes are well within the margin of error, but
Ipsos-MORI's monthly poll has also been published and is up on their website here. Their topline figures, with changes from their last poll in mid-December, are CON 40%(-3), LAB 32%(+6), LDEM 16%(-4). It's a big shift back to Labour, but to some extent
Political Betting has a new Angus Reid poll, the topline figures are almost unchanged from their previous poll with CON 40%(nc), LAB 24%(nc), LDEM 19%(-1). The company have shown Labour and the Conservatives unchanged in their last three polls, and continue to show a signficantly lower level
As we get closer to the election I expect we'll also get a flurry of what Bob Worcester calls "Voodoo polls" - open access polls that do not make any attempt to gather a representative sample. In yesterday's Sun and Times, and today'
The tables for ICM's poll are now available here. Firstly the question on the couples' tax allowance did indeed ask specifically if people would support or oppose a tax break for married couples with children, and found that 65% of people did with only 29% opposed, a
At the end of last year I wrote a piece saying I thought there were four "known unknowns" that might change the political picture before the election campaign. The first was Labour's final chance to change their leader in January - as we've seen,
ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian has topline figures of CON 40%(nc), LAB 29%(-1), LDEM 21%(+3). Changes are from ICM's last poll, which was conducted straight after the Hoon-Hewitt "coup". Clearly there is no significant change in the Conservative or Labour
ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian is due out later tonight, around about 6pm according to Mike Smithson. I'll be on a train about then, so those of you fortunate enough not to be commuting are free to discuss it here. ICM's last poll
Tomorrow's ComRes poll for tomorrow has also surfaced - the topline figures are CON 38%(-4), LAB 29%(nc), LDEM 19%(nc). There's a sharp drop in Conservative support since ComRes's last poll, but it actually reflects a straight reverse of the changes in
The News of the World has a new ICM poll of marginal seats in tomorrow's paper. ICM's sample covered the 97 seats where Labour are in first place and the Conservatives in second place, and where the Conservatives need a swing between 4% and 10%. The
I've seen various people pick up this article by Julian Glover today, so it probably needs some background. On Wednesday there was a joint conference with the BPC and the National Centre for Research Methods and at the end of the day the chairman put all the speakers
One thing we've seen over the last few months is pressure groups commissioning helpful polls showing that, lo and behold, adopting the policy that they are campaigning for would be really fantastic for the electoral prospects of whatever party they are trying to twist to their end. So,
Sign up to receive occasional updates from UK Polling Report.