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MORI poll of marginal seats

Ipsos MORI have conducted a new poll of marginal seats for Reuters. The poll covered marginal seats currently held by Labour, in which the Conservatives need a swing of between 5% and 9% to win (that's seats with majorities between 10% and 18%, so some pretty distant hopes

By Anthony Wells 25 Mar 2010

YouGov Daily poll - 36/34/17

YouGov's daily poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 36%(-1), LAB 34%(+1), LDEM 17%(-1). Back to a very tight 2 point lead, and signs that the Lib Dem boost we saw last week is subsiding. The poll was conducted almost entirely before the

By Anthony Wells 24 Mar 2010

New Harris/Metro poll

There is a new Harris poll in this morning's Metro. The topline figures are CON 35%(-1), LAB 28%(nc), LDEM 17%(-1). Others are up to 20%. Changes are from Harris's previous poll and are well within the margin of error. The Metro, for some

By Anthony Wells 24 Mar 2010

New YouGov and MORI polls

There are two new polls out tonight. Firstly tonight's voting intention figures in YouGov's Daily poll for the Sun are CON 37%(+1), LAB 33%(+1), LDEM 18%(-2). The lead remains at 4 points, and there is a conspicuous lack of impact from the fake

By Anthony Wells 23 Mar 2010

YouGov shows an 8 point swing to the Conservatives in London

The Evening Standard are reporting a new YouGov poll in London for ITV. The topline figures are CON 40%, LAB 31%, LDEM 18%. This represents a hefty 8 point swing in the capital, significantly more than the figures YouGov have been showing nationally (the poll was conducted between the 19th

By Anthony Wells 23 Mar 2010
On budget bounces...and budget slumps

On budget bounces...and budget slumps

With the budget tomorrow, I thought I'd update this chart from a year ago. It shows the two YouGov polls preceding each of the last eight budgets, and the two YouGov polls that followed each one, giving us a sign of whether the budget gave the government a

By Anthony Wells 23 Mar 2010

YouGov's lead goes back to 4

Today's YouGov poll has topline figures of CON 36%(-2), LAB 32%(+1), LDEM 20%(+1). The Tory lead is back down to four points (in fact the figures are the same as YouGov were showing on Wednesday and Thursday last week) and it looks very likely that

By Anthony Wells 22 Mar 2010

Opinium Express poll - 37/30/15

There is a new Opinium poll in the Daily Express with topline figures of CON 37%(-2), LAB 30%(+2), LDEM 15%(-1). "Others" remain at a very high 18%. Looking at the back data of Opinium, they have some rather contrarian results - last autumn their polls

By Anthony Wells 22 Mar 2010

Populus poll DOESN'T show a 7 point Tory lead - UPDATED

UPDATE: It seems that it is not a co-incidence that these "Populus" figures for the 10th-11th March match the ICM poll conducted at the same time. I've checked with Andrew Cooper and they are one and the same poll. As regular readers will know, Populus sometimes

By Anthony Wells 22 Mar 2010

More from the YouGov/Sunday Times poll

The full tables for the YouGov/Sunday Times poll are on their website here. On the regular trackers Gordon Brown's job approval rating is down since a fortnight ago (a net rating of -28, from -24) and Cameron up to +10 from +4. With the Lib Dems still

By Anthony Wells 21 Mar 2010

But YouGov show lead rising to 7

Sky News have also got the figures for tonight's YouGov poll. After a slow decline in the Conservative lead over the last few weeks tonight's has it bouncing back up. The topline figures with changes from their Thursday poll are CON 38%(+2), LAB 31%(-1)

By Anthony Wells 20 Mar 2010

ICM show Tory lead dropping to 6

There is a new ICM poll in tomorrow's News of the World. Topline figures, with changes from ICM's previous poll a week ago, are CON 38%(-2), LAB 32%(+1), LDEM 19%(-1). While we've had a couple of ICM polls showing seven point

By Anthony Wells 20 Mar 2010
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