There is an Opinium poll in tomorrow's express which has topline figures of CON 33%(-1), LAB 28%(+3), LDEM 27%(-1), with changes from last week. I don't have figures for others, but presumably they are around 12%. Labour are up by three points, bringing
The final round of Ipsos MORI's marginal polling for Reuters has been published. These are polls conducted in Labour held marginal seats where the Conservatives need a swing of between 5% and 9% to win - to win on a uniform swing the Conservatives need a swing of
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 34%(-1) LAB 28% (+1) LDEM 29% (+1). No significant change from yesterday. Rather to my surprise, there's also a new ICM poll in the Guardian. The topline figures there are CON 33%(-3), LAB
There were two Scottish polls this weekend - YouGov in the Scotland on Sunday had figures of CON 17%, LAB 37%, LD 22%, SNP 20%. TNS BMRB in the Scottish Mail on Sunday had figures of CON 13%, LAB 44%, LDEM 16%, SNP 23%. The YouGov poll would produce very
In predicting the result of the election on Thursday, getting the levels of party support is only half the battle (if anything, it's probably the easier bit). The harder bit is translating that into actual seats - especially given that this looks likely to be an election where
It's the last Sunday before the election, so we have a large number of polls out tonight. I've mentioned most of them in a quick post earlier on, but now I've had chance to get home and digest them properly. Here are the polls
I am away from the computer properly until later tonight, but we've already got some of Sunday morning's polls out. So far ICM in the Sunday Telegraph are showing CON 36%, LAB 29%, LDEM 27%. There is a second ICM poll in the News of the
There is also a Harris poll for the Daily Mail out tonight - the topline figures there are CON 33%(+1), LAB 24%(-1), LDEM 32%(+2). No vast change there, though Harris are showing a much lower level of support for Labour than some other pollsters, and the highest
Swing Calculator This calculates what would happen at a general election if there was a uniform swing across the country. Enter shares of the vote into the boxes below and click submit to see what the result would be if they were repeated at a general election. mysql_connect("
YouGov's daily polling tonight has topline figures of CON 34%(nc), LAB 28%(+1), LDEM 28%(nc). Obviously there is no significant change since yesterday. YouGov's polls this week have been pretty static, Conservatives at 33-34%, Labour at 27-29%, the Lib Dems mostly around 28-29% aside
I posted these a couple of weeks before the election, but I see more and more of them cropping up in the comments, so I think it's worth reposting it for newcomers. 1) The polls are ALL wrong, the real position is obviously X Er... based on what?
YouGov and Angus Reid are both calling the third debate for Cameron. YouGov have figures of Cameron 41%, Brown 25%, Clegg 32%. Angus Reid's live figures so far, are showing Cameron the victor of the third debate - Cameron 36%, Brown 22%, Clegg 31%. UPDATE: ComRes also have
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