General election campaigns provoke a lot of attention and criticism of opinion polls. Some of that is sensible and well-informed... and some of it is not. This is about the latter - a response to some of the more common criticisms that I see on social media. Polling methodology is
We have the usual glut of polls in the Sunday papers, with new figures from YouGov, ComRes, Opinium, BMG and Deltapoll. Topline figures are below: Deltapoll/Mail on Sunday - CON 45%(+2), LAB 32%(+2), LDEM 15%(-2), BREX 3%(nc). Fieldwork was Thursday to Saturday, and changes are
The mid-week polls so far are below: SavantaComRes (25th-26th) - CON 41%(-1), LAB 34%(+2), LDEM 13%(-2), BREX 5%(nc) YouGov/Sky/Times (25th-26th) - CON 43%(-1), LAB 32%(+2), LDEM 13%(-3), BREX 4%(+1) ICM/Reuters (22th-25th) - CON 41%(-1), LAB 34%(+2), LDEM
There were five GB voting intention polls in the Sunday papers (and the latest Panelbase poll appeared on Friday). BMG/Independent - CON 41%(+4), LAB 28%(-1), LDEM 18%(+2), BREX 3%(-6). Fieldwork Tuesday to Thursday, with changes from last week. (tabs) YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 42%
Here are the mid-week polls so far: Kantar - CON 45%(+8), LAB 27%(nc), LDEM 16%(-1), BREX 2%(-7) YouGov/Times/Sky - CON 42%(-3), LAB 30%(+2), LDEM 15%(nc), BREX 4%(nc) ICM/Reuters - CON 42%(+3), LAB 32%(+1), LDEM 13%(-2), BREX
There are (so far at least), five GB voting intention polls in the Sunday papers. YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 45%(+3), LAB 28%(nc), LDEM 15%(nc), BREX 4%(nc). Fieldwork was Thursday and Friday, and changes are from the YouGov/Times/Sky poll mid-week. (tabs) SavantaComRes/S Telegraph
A round up of voting intention polls published during the week. We have had three polls with fieldwork conducted wholly after the announcement from Nigel Farage that the Brexit party would not stand in Conservative seats: Panelbase (13th-14th) - CON 43%(+3), LAB 30%(nc), LDEM 15%(nc), BREX 5%
Four voting intention polls in the Sunday papers. YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 39%(+3), LAB 26%(+1), LDEM 17%(nc), BREX 10%(-1) (tabs) Deltapoll/Mail on Sunday - CON 41%(+1), LAB 29%(+1), LDEM 16%(+2), BREX 6%(-5) (tabs) Opinium/Observer - CON 41%(-1), LAB
Given the success of the approach at the 2017 election I expect we'll see several MRP seat models this time round. The first one to emerge however is one constructed by Focaldata, using data from mixed sources, including YouGov, that Best for Britain have used to drive a
At the weekend we had a positive glut of national polls. In the last couple of days they've been joined by London and Wales polls from YouGov. The Welsh poll for ITV Wales has Westminster voting intentions of CON 28%(-1), LAB 29%(+4), LDEM 12%(-4), BREX
The first Sunday of the election campaign, and as you expect, several polls in the Sunday papers: The Telegraph have a poll from ORB. Topline figures are CON 36%, LAB 28%, LDEM 14%, BREX 12%. Fieldwork was Wednesday and Thursday. While they've published some trackers on support for
The first voting intention polls published since the election was called were in this morning's papers: Survation for the Mail, Ipsos MORI for the Standard and YouGov for the Times. Topline figures were Survation - CON 34%, LAB 26%, LDEM 19%, BREX 12%, GRN 1% (tabs) Ipsos MORI
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