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YouGov/Sun 41/40/11 (plus AV polling)

YouGov's daily voting intention figures tonight - the first since the tuition fees announcement - are CON 41%, LAB 40%, LDEM 11%. Government approval is minus 7, not the lowest they've been (there were a couple of minus 8's last month) but significantly down

By Anthony Wells 13 Oct 2010

Tuition fees

Lord Browne's review of university funding has, as expected, recommended an end to the cap on university tuition fees. Ahead of the report YouGov's poll for last weekend's Sunday Times had a series of questions on tuition fees. The idea of increased tuition fees

By Anthony Wells 12 Oct 2010

Why the polls got the Lib Dems wrong in 2010

Everytime we get an ICM poll it produces a lot of people commenting on the big difference between the level of support the Lib Dems get. I intend returning to that at some point in the future, but as background for considering how the polls represent the Lib Dems though,

By Anthony Wells 10 Oct 2010

ICM/Sunday Telegraph - 38/34/18

There's a new ICM poll in the Sunday Telegraph. Topline figures with changes from a week ago are CON 38%(+3), LAB 34%(-3), LDEM 18%(nc). The previous ICM poll was just after the Labour conference and showed Labour ahead, now we have the Conservatives back ahead,

By Anthony Wells 09 Oct 2010
The end of the conference season

The end of the conference season

At the end of conference season voting intention is pretty much as it was at the beginning - a Conservative lead of 3 or 4 points. Each party enjoyed a small boost during and straight after their own conference - the Lib Dems peaked up at 15% in YouGov'

By Anthony Wells 09 Oct 2010

YouGov/Sun 42/38/12

YouGov's daily poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 42%, LAB 38%, LDEM 12%. This is the first poll since David Cameron's conference speech and like Ed Miliband and Nick Clegg before him, it doesn't seem to have given him much of

By Anthony Wells 07 Oct 2010

83% support limiting child benefit, BUT...

YouGov's daily poll for the Sun got people hugely excited over the headline figure of 83% backing the child benefit changes last night - but the actual story is more nuanced than that. The principle of limiting child child benefit so people on higher incomes don't

By Anthony Wells 06 Oct 2010

YouGov/Sun - 43/39/11

YouGov's daily poll for the Sun tonight has topline figures of CON 43%, LAB 39%, LDEM 11%, which is the highest the Conservatives have been for a fortnight or so. Nothing significant yet, but perhaps the first whiff of their own conference boost. More interesting questions to come

By Anthony Wells 05 Oct 2010

New ComRes poll of Londoners

ComRes have a new poll of Londoners out. Asked who they'd prefer between Boris Johnson and Ken Livingstone, Boris leads Ken by 44% to 35%. Unlike the rather odd question last month, this one didn't have Oona King in, gave people the option of saying other,

By Anthony Wells 05 Oct 2010

New Angus Reid and BPIX polls

There were two more polls in the Sunday papers. BPIX in the Mail on Sunday had voting intentions of CON 41%, LAB 37%, LDEM 13%. There was also a new Angus Reid poll in the Sunday Express, which seems to be their first voting intention poll since the election and

By Anthony Wells 03 Oct 2010

YouGov/Sunday Times - 39/41/11

YouGov's weekly poll for the Sunday Times has topline figures of CON 39%, LAB 41%, LDEM 11%. Once again that's YouGov's highest Labour score since the election-that-never-was in 2007. Over in the New Statesman they've commented on the lack of conference bounces

By Anthony Wells 02 Oct 2010

New ComRes VI and YouGov Welsh polls

Saturday normally doesn't see any polls being published, so I missed a new ComRes poll for the Indy last night. Topline figures were CON 39%(+2), LAB 36%(+1), LDEM 15%(nc), Others 10%(-3). Changes are from ComRes's previous online poll a fortnight ago and

By Anthony Wells 02 Oct 2010
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