Over on Left Foot Forward there is a paper by a Dr Matt Qvortrup arguing that the introduction of AV would help Labour and hurt the Conservatives, and therefore it would be in the Labour party's partisan interest to support it. The paper is almost all made up
YouGov have released their final Welsh poll of the year for ITV Wales (the final daily poll of the year for the Sun, incidentally, comes tonight). Welsh assembly voting intention figures with changes from last month are: Constituency: CON 23%(+2), LAB 44%(nc), LDEM 6%(-3), Plaid 21%(nc)
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 40%, LAB 42%, LDEM 9%. The small Labour lead in YouGov's daily polling looks like it's being consolidated. Meanwhile net government approval is down to minus 19, the lowest the coalition government have
ICM's final Guardian poll of the year has topline figures of CON 37%(+1), LAB 39%(+1), LDEM 13%(-1). Changes are from a month ago, but there is no significant change. The small Labour lead over the Conservatives is now consistent across all the pollsters - the
Last week there were a couple of polls on AV. YouGov's regular tracker on how people would vote in an AV referendum had AV on 33% and FPTP on 39%. Meanwhile an online ICM poll for the ERS had AV on 35% and FPTP on 22%. I posted
There is a new ComRes poll in tomorrow's Independent on Sunday. Topline figures are CON 37%(nc), LAB 39%(+1), LDEM 11%(-2), Others 13%. The poll is very much in line with recent trends - Labour's small lead is being consolidated and the Lib Dems
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 41%, LAB 41%, LDEM 9%. This follows on from a small Tory lead yesterday. The pattern is amusingly neat - in November we had violent student protests in Millbank, which were almost immediately followed by Labour taking
Two new polls tonight. YouGov's daily poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 39%, LAB 42%, LDEM 9%. With three YouGov polls in a row showing a Labour lead it looks like there's been a genuine shift there (though of course, I said that
Yesterday the latest figures from the British Social Attitudes survey were released, with most of the media attention focusing on the findings that support for the government spending more money on benefits and the government redistributing income have both dropped to lower levels than in the 1980s (27% support the
YouGov's daily poll for the Sun has figures of CON 41%, LAB 42%, LDEM 9%. It confirms the Labour lead YouGov showed in yesterday's Sunday Times poll (though it is still well within the margin of error of the two parties being neck and neck).
Pimhole is an area of Bury, just off the M66. More relevantly though, it was used in a Fry and Laurie sketch way back in 1990 as a fake swearword. The joke was that the BBC wouldn't let Fry and Laurie swear on the telly, so they'
Forgot to mention this earlier - a article I wrote for Total Politics last month giving tips on the best way to get the most of opinion polls http://www.totalpolitics.com/magazine_detail.php?id=1127
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