Tonight's YouGov/Sun voting intention figures are CON 39%, LAB 43%, LDEM 7%. It's the highest Labour lead YouGov have shown since November, and the lowest Liberal Democrat score they've ever shown (the last time the Lib Dems scored lower than 7% was back
The headline in the Independent today is "Lib Dem support hits all-time low". This is based on a weighted average of the regular monthly polls showing Con 38%, Lab 40%, Liberal Democrats 11%, which the paper says is "its lowest level since the party was formed in
After a week and a half with no polling, the first YouGov poll of 2011 is out. Topline figures are CON 40%, LAB 42%, LDEM 8%. These are essentially unchanged since the start of the Christmas holidays (which shouldn't come as much surprise, after all, there are rarely
Having predicted difficult years ahead for the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats, almost by default I'm going to have to predict good things for Labour. In terms of voting intention polls and electoral victories they should have a good year, what matters is what they choose to do with
The collapse in Liberal Democrat support since the election is startling. At the general election they recorded 24% (having hit 30%+ in some campaign polls, though we will never know for sure how much of that was down to polling error). By the end of the year, most polls showed
Over the next few days I'm going to be rounding up the position the three main parties find themselves in the polls at the end of 2010, and looking forward at what faces them in the year ahead, starting with the Conservatives. The Conservatives received little in the
Over on political betting Mike Smithson has a post on whether fuel prices drive voting intentions, accompanied by a graph showing that a peak in petrol prices in Summer 2008 co-incided with a low point in Labour's polling, while a slump in petrol prices co-incided with a comparatively
The final YouGov/Sun daily poll of 2010 is out, and has topline figures of CON 39%, LAB 41%, LDEM 9%, very much in line with YouGov's recent polls. The daily polling is pausing now until the start of January. In 2007 and 2009 YouGov did do polls
Over on Left Foot Forward there is a paper by a Dr Matt Qvortrup arguing that the introduction of AV would help Labour and hurt the Conservatives, and therefore it would be in the Labour party's partisan interest to support it. The paper is almost all made up
YouGov have released their final Welsh poll of the year for ITV Wales (the final daily poll of the year for the Sun, incidentally, comes tonight). Welsh assembly voting intention figures with changes from last month are: Constituency: CON 23%(+2), LAB 44%(nc), LDEM 6%(-3), Plaid 21%(nc)
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 40%, LAB 42%, LDEM 9%. The small Labour lead in YouGov's daily polling looks like it's being consolidated. Meanwhile net government approval is down to minus 19, the lowest the coalition government have
ICM's final Guardian poll of the year has topline figures of CON 37%(+1), LAB 39%(+1), LDEM 13%(-1). Changes are from a month ago, but there is no significant change. The small Labour lead over the Conservatives is now consistent across all the pollsters - the
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