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YouGov/Sunday Times - CON36 LAB44 LD10

YouGov's weekly poll for the Sunday Times has topline figures of CON 36%, LAB 44%, LDEM 10%. This doesn't tell us a huge amount. It's within the margin of error of the smaller Labour lead of around 6 points that YouGov's polling

By Anthony Wells 26 Feb 2011

The Boundary Review

The forthcoming review of Parliamentary constituencies, set off by the Parliamentary Voting System and Constituencies Act, is going to be based on the electorate on the 1st December 2010 (that is the day the brand new electoral register from last autumn's annual canvass came into effect). The Office

By Anthony Wells 25 Feb 2011

YouGov/Sun - CON 38%, LAB 42%, LDEM 10%

YouGov's daily poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 38%, LAB 42%, LDEM 10%. The four point lead is probably on the low side due to normal random variation, but YouGov's daily poll does seem to be showing the Labour lead down a bit

By Anthony Wells 24 Feb 2011

MORI/Reuters - CON 33, LAB 43, LDEM 13

Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor is out, and has topline voting intention figures unchanged from a month ago CON 33%(nc), LAB 43%(nc), LDEM 13%(nc). The poll also contained a question on the AV referendum, which amongst those certain to vote (presumably using MORI's

By Anthony Wells 24 Feb 2011

YouGov/Sun - CON 36%, LAB 44%, LDEM 11%

Tonight's YouGov/Sun poll has voting intentions of CON 36%, LAB 44%, LDEM 11%. Back up to an eight point lead after several polls in a row with a lead of 6 points or less (though this doesn't tell us much - if the average lead

By Anthony Wells 23 Feb 2011

YouGov show NO campaign 7 points ahead

YouGov's fortnightly tracker of AV voting intention is in the Sun tomorrow. Voting intention is YES 34%(-3), NO 41%(+3), changes are from the last poll a fortnight ago. Back then YouGov was showing a sharp tightening of the race, with Yes and No neck and neck

By Anthony Wells 22 Feb 2011

Tracking opinion on the cuts

Time for a round up of YouGov's regular cuts trackers. While they'd been pushed aside by other issues over the last few days (perhaps why the Labour lead has shrunk a bit), the cuts remain the defining feature in the current political landscape. The first point

By Anthony Wells 22 Feb 2011

ICM show Lib Dems up and AV and FPTP neck and neck

ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian is out. Topline voting intention figures with changes from ICM's last poll in January are CON 35%(nc), LAB 38%(-1), LDEM 18%(+3). The three point Labour lead is very close to Populus's (who use a similar

By Anthony Wells 21 Feb 2011

The Irish General Election

This coming Friday has the general election in Ireland - for those who are interested, here are the latest polls. DateFianna FailFine GaelLabourSinn Fein Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times21/02/1116371911 RedC/S. Business Post20/02/1116391712 Millward Brown/S. Independent20/02/1116372012 OI/Daily Star17/02/1117391810 Millward Brown/Independent16/

By Anthony Wells 21 Feb 2011

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 37, LAB 41, LDEM 10

Tonight's YouGov/Sunday Times poll has voting intentions of CON 37%, LAB 41%, LDEM 10%. A four point lead is the lowest YouGov have shown this month. Of course it's possible that the government have recovered a bit - Cameron has spoken out against the prisoners

By Anthony Wells 19 Feb 2011

Different Populus questions show YES and NO ahead

Of late polls on AV have shown somewhat contrasting figures. Most companies have been measuring voting intention on AV by just asking the bare question that will be on the ballot paper. This has tended to show a lead for the YES campaign. Meanwhile YouGov have a tracker question on

By Anthony Wells 19 Feb 2011

The 2010 election in hindsight

I posted about this on the YouGov website earlier this week, but wanted to note it here too. A YouGov poll this week we asked about people’s opinions on the result of the 2010 election in hindsight. Do people think Labour deserved to lose, did the Conservatives deserve to

By Anthony Wells 18 Feb 2011
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