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YouGov/Sun - CON 35, LAB 45, LDEM 9

Tonight's YouGov poll has topline figures of CON 35%, LAB 45%, LDEM 9% - the Labour lead is back up to double figures. This particular poll maybe something of an outlier, but even so, the apparent budget boost was certainly very short lived. Perhaps it was just the

By Anthony Wells 30 Mar 2011

Latest YouGov Scottish polling

Following the TNS poll earlier this week that showed the SNP catching Labour in Holyrood voting intentions, there is a new YouGov poll for the Scotsman that shows them ahead in constituency voting intention. Voting intentions stand at... Westminster: CON 17%, LAB 46%, LDEM 6%, SNP 26% Holyrood Constituency: CON

By Anthony Wells 30 Mar 2011

YouGov local election poll

Polling of local elections is very rare - presumably because they only cover part of the country, and it is hard to actually get any meaning out of the figures. What exactly does a four point Labour lead in local elections in the areas where there happens to be local

By Anthony Wells 29 Mar 2011

New YouGov, ComRes and TNS-BMRB polls

There are two new GB polls out tonight (plus a Scottish one, but more on that later). A phone poll from ComRes has voting intentions at CON 35%(nc), LAB 41%(+2), LDEM 13%(+1), Others 11%. Changes are from the last ComRes poll conducted by telephone, a month ago.

By Anthony Wells 28 Mar 2011

More from the YouGov/Sunday Times poll

The full tables for the YouGov/Sunday Times poll are now up here. The improved Conservative position in voting intention was echoed by improved ratings for David Cameron - his approval rating is now neutral, with 47% thinking he is doing well, 47% badly (the first time he's

By Anthony Wells 27 Mar 2011

YouGov show Labour lead of 3 points

Tonight's weekly YouGov poll for the Sunday Times has topline voting intention figures of CON 38%, LAB 41%, LDEM 11%. The three point Labour lead is the smallest recorded in a YouGov poll since January and confirms the narrowing of the Labour lead we saw in YouGov'

By Anthony Wells 26 Mar 2011

Putting that ICM poll in context

The ICM poll last night has produced various comments from people dismissing it or defending it. Let's put it in some context. Firstly there is no large swing here. All the parties are within 2 points of ICM's last poll, so there is no reason to

By Anthony Wells 26 Mar 2011

ICM show 1 point Tory lead - CON 37, LAB 36, LD 16

ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian, conducted after this week's budget, has the Conservatives back ahead - CON 37%(+2), LAB 36%(-2), LDEM 16%(-2). Changes are from their February poll, before both the budget and the intervention in Libya. This is the first poll

By Anthony Wells 25 Mar 2011

Post-budget ICM poll has Conservatives back in the lead

ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian, conducted after this week's budget, has the Conservatives back ahead - CON 37%(+2), LAB 36%(-2), LDEM 16%(-2). Changes are from their February poll. Full report to follow shortly UPDATE: Proper post now up here

By Anthony Wells 25 Mar 2011

YouGov's budget polling

Full tables for YouGov's post-budget poll are now available here. The overall position is a small thumbs up, but not one that had made any real difference to the bigger picture. Overall 44% of people thought the budget was a fair one, with 31% thinking it unfair. This

By Anthony Wells 25 Mar 2011

YouGov/Sun - CON 37, LAB 41, LDEM 11

YouGov's first daily poll since the budget has topline figures of CON 37%, LAB 41%, LDEM 11%, Others 11%. The day-on-day changes since yesterday are not significant, but it is the smallest Labour lead since February. Government approval has also risen - today's figure is minus

By Anthony Wells 24 Mar 2011
On budget bounces (or lack thereof)

On budget bounces (or lack thereof)

As we look forward to what effect the budget has on the polls, here's an updated look at what they've done in the past. The graph below shows the government's lead in the two YouGov polls before and after each of the last ten

By Anthony Wells 23 Mar 2011
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